Stock daily read

What happened with PMI today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

PMI in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Picard Medical, Inc. operates through its wholly owned subsidiary SynCardia, which makes an implanted artificial heart for patients with advanced heart failure awaiting a transplant. The SynCardia Total Artificial Heart replaces both ventricles and all four heart valves, while an external driver powers its pumping. Hospitals buy the implant kits, which generate most revenue. Some patients can leave hospital with a portable Freedom Driver, which provides a smaller stream of rental income.

Its customers are medical centers with heart-transplant and mechanical-circulatory-support programs, and most revenue comes from the United States. Hospitals pay Picard; Medicare and private insurers reimburse hospitals for treatment rather than paying Picard directly. Adequate reimbursement therefore matters to hospitals’ willingness to use the device. Revenue is concentrated among a few customers, with one accounting for a particularly large share, and orders generally carry no long-term volume commitment.

U.S. approval covers use while patients await transplantation, not permanent treatment in place of a transplant. Production is concentrated at SynCardia’s Tucson facility. The company also depends on Bimba and its distributor Heitek Automation for sole-source driver components, purchased without long-term supply agreements.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in PMI’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

PMI says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Picard Medical’s results hinge on adoption by a small network of transplant centers and broader regulatory approvals, with Carmat and BiVACOR offering closer total-artificial-heart competition than Abbott.

  • Abbott competes with Picard for advanced-heart-failure programs considering devices to support blood circulation: Abbott’s HeartMate devices help the heart pump, while Picard sells total artificial hearts to medical centers with transplant and mechanical-support programs.

Agenda

in 2 daysWed, Oct 21

  1. Time to be announced

    Abbott Laboratories earningsABT

    Abbott's report will show demand for HeartMate circulatory-support devices at advanced-heart-failure programs, offering a demand signal for Picard Medical at the same kinds of medical centers.

in 9 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    Fed rate decisions influence the cost and availability of borrowing across the economy, which matters to Picard because it relies on debt or equity funding to support operations while its SynCardia artificial-heart business works toward sufficient revenue.

in 25 daysFri, Nov 13

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Picard Medical, Inc. earningsThis company

    Picard Medical's report will show whether SynCardia artificial-heart kit sales can grow enough to narrow the gross loss created when product and service costs exceed revenue.