Stock daily read

What happened with PKOH today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

PKOH in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Manufacturers pay Park-Ohio Holdings Corp to supply the parts they need on their production floors. Its largest business, Supply Technologies, buys components from outside suppliers and handles sourcing, quality checks, inventory and delivery. Through Total Supply Management, customers consolidate many suppliers into one supply relationship with Park-Ohio, rather than simply buying individual parts from a distributor.

The company also makes products itself. Assembly Components sells fuel-system assemblies and hoses to vehicle and equipment manufacturers. Engineered Products sells industrial equipment, including systems that heat and melt metal and presses used in forging, as well as forged and machined parts. Equipment customers also pay for replacement parts, repairs and field service, with the company’s installed heating and melting systems supporting a substantial service business.

Revenue depends on customers’ manufacturing activity and on outside suppliers meeting quality and delivery requirements. A small group of large customers supplies a substantial share of Supply Technologies’ sales and most of Assembly Components’ sales. Supply Technologies customers generally order as needed; even longer-term agreements often do not guarantee minimum purchases.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in PKOH’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

PKOH says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Park-Ohio’s results hinge on manufacturing activity, vehicle production and industrial equipment spending; also watch Inductotherm, an induction-heating competitor absent from this list.

  • Mayville Engineering Company, Inc. (MEC) and Park-Ohio share exposure to truck, construction-equipment and agricultural-equipment production: MEC makes components for those manufacturers, while Park-Ohio supplies production parts and manufactured components. Watch MEC’s sales to these customer groups for a read on demand facing Park-Ohio, though MEC can shift production between markets.

  • inTEST Corporation competes with Park-Ohio to sell industrial customers equipment that heats materials by induction, through its Ambrell business. Watch Ambrell’s induction-heating business for competitive pressure on equipment sales, while remembering that replacement parts and field service provide approximately 49% of Park-Ohio’s induction heating and melting revenue, primarily from its own installed equipment.

Agenda

in 7 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. 8:30 AMET pre-market

    Durable Goods Orders MoM (Sep)

    Durable-goods orders track purchases of long-lasting products and equipment; stronger or weaker orders can change how much automotive, heavy-truck and industrial customers buy from Park-Ohio, affecting sales of its components, fuel-system assemblies and engineered equipment.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    The Fed’s policy-rate decision guides borrowing costs across the economy; because Park-Ohio has $257.4 million outstanding on a revolving credit facility at a 5.19% rate, higher rates may raise what it pays in interest and lower rates may reduce that expense.

in 14 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. Time to be announced

    Mayville Engineering Company, Inc. earningsMEC

    Mayville Engineering Company’s report will show how demand from truck, construction-equipment and agricultural-equipment makers is changing, offering a read on the markets Park-Ohio’s parts businesses serve.

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Park-Ohio Holdings Corp earningsThis company

    Park-Ohio’s report will show whether orders for automotive fuel-system components and industrial equipment are turning into sales and segment operating income.

in 17 daysFri, Nov 6

  1. Time to be announced

    inTEST Corporation earningsINTT

    inTEST Corporation’s report will show how its Ambrell induction-heating equipment business is selling, offering a read on competition for Park-Ohio’s induction-heating and melting equipment.

in 28 daysTue, Nov 17

  1. 9:15 AMET pre-market

    Industrial Production MoM (Oct)

    Industrial production and capacity use track how much factories and other producers make and use their facilities; stronger or weaker manufacturing activity can change customer demand for Park-Ohio’s production components, fuel-system assemblies, industrial equipment and forged products, affecting sales.