Stock daily read

What happened with PCLA today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

PCLA in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

PicoCELA Inc. helps businesses build Wi-Fi networks whose access points relay traffic wirelessly between one another. Its PCWL devices use the company’s PBE software to manage those relay paths. Hardware sales generate most of its revenue, and all revenue currently comes from Japan. Most sales go through telecommunications-device distributors and IT consulting firms, which deliver and install the equipment and pay PicoCELA. It also sells directly to businesses. EXEO Group, SCSK Minori Solutions and Nikken together account for a majority of revenue.

Customers use PicoManager, its cloud platform, to monitor network connectivity and traffic and install their own software on the access points. A basic version comes with the equipment; customers can pay subscriptions for upgraded services. Services and maintenance contribute a smaller share of revenue. PicoCELA plans to make a recurring PicoManager subscription a requirement for buying its access points, rather than an optional upgrade.

PicoCELA outsources hardware production, so deliveries depend on manufacturers securing the Wi-Fi chips specified in its designs; they cannot simply substitute other chips. Orders also depend on customers’ capital-spending budgets and timing. Some products use patents licensed from Kyushu University, making continued rights to those technologies important. Its access points must carry the required certifications under Japan’s Radio Act and Telecommunications Business Act before they can be sold.

Read allShow less
Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in PCLA’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

PCLA says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

PicoCELA's results hinge on Japanese enterprise Wi-Fi demand, competition from Hewlett Packard's Aruba, and reliable outsourced manufacturing from suppliers led by Compex.

  • Cisco's Meraki competes directly with PicoCELA to supply Wi-Fi access points to enterprises in Japan, putting PicoCELA's prices and market share under pressure. Watch Meraki's new wireless products and pricing, which shape the competition facing PicoCELA's mesh Wi-Fi equipment.

  • NETGEAR and PicoCELA compete for enterprises upgrading their wireless networks, selling them business Wi-Fi equipment and network-management services. Watch NETGEAR's Enterprise business, which serves small and medium enterprises, rather than its home and mobile products, for the closer comparison with PicoCELA's enterprise equipment and PicoManager cloud service.

Agenda

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced

    NETGEAR, Inc. earningsNTGR

    NETGEAR’s Enterprise business serves small and medium enterprises, and its report will show how that business is faring as it competes for the enterprise Wi-Fi customers PicoCELA also serves.