Stock daily read

What happened with PAVM today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

PAVM in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

PAVmed owns a majority interest in Veris Health and retains a significant stake in Lucid Diagnostics. Veris supplies oncology practices and hospitals with its Cancer Care Platform, which lets clinicians monitor patients remotely using connected devices and patient-reported symptoms. It charges monthly subscriptions for each patient on the platform; these subscriptions account for most of PAVmed’s current product and service revenue. Providers can seek reimbursement for remote monitoring services.

Lucid sells EsoGuard, a DNA test that checks esophageal cells collected with EsoCheck for signs of Barrett’s esophagus and esophageal cancer. Out-of-network commercial insurers supply the vast majority of Lucid’s revenue. EsoGuard is marketed in limited circumstances as a laboratory-developed test without FDA clearance or approval, although EsoCheck has FDA clearance. Broader commercialization depends heavily on insurance reimbursement, and a final Medicare coverage determination remains outstanding.

PAVmed’s sales remain small. It relies heavily on Lucid’s management-service payments to fund its own operations and also needs outside financing to support development and commercialization.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in PAVM’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

PAVM says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

PAVmed’s outlook hinges on its retained stake in Lucid Diagnostics, adoption of Veris Health’s oncology monitoring platform, and funding for its development pipeline.

  • Lucid Diagnostics still matters to PAVmed through its substantial retained stake and significant influence, even though Lucid’s results are no longer consolidated; Lucid also pays PAVmed for management services, in cash or shares at PAVmed’s election. Watch commercial insurers’ out-of-network payments for EsoGuard, Lucid’s test for esophageal precancer and cancer in at-risk patients: these have supplied the vast majority of Lucid’s revenue to date.

Agenda

in 22 daysWed, Nov 11

  1. Time to be announced

    Lucid Diagnostics Inc. earningsLUCD

    Lucid Diagnostics’ report will show whether out-of-network commercial insurance payments sustain its EsoGuard business, which matters to PAVmed’s retained stake and management-services income.

in 23 daysThu, Nov 12

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    PAVmed Inc. earningsThis company

    PAVmed’s report will show whether Veris platform subscriptions are growing enough to ease the company’s cash use and need for outside financing.