PAC in three months: buy, wait or sell?
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Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico runs airports rather than airlines. Most of its revenue comes from airport services, with departing-passenger charges the largest source. Airlines collect those charges through tickets and pass the money to the airports. Airlines also pay for landing, aircraft parking and other facilities and services.
The company earns additional income from businesses serving travelers inside its airports. Restaurants and retailers pay rent, often based on sales but subject to a guaranteed minimum. It also operates parking facilities and sells advertising. This smaller commercial business depends on how many passengers pass through the terminals and what they spend.
Revenue depends on airlines maintaining routes and flight frequency. Volaris is its largest passenger-charge collection partner, followed by Viva, making both important to traffic and cash collection. Most airport-service revenue comes from Guadalajara, Los Cabos, Tijuana, Puerto Vallarta and Montego Bay, while travel to and from the United States dominates international passenger traffic. Mexico and Jamaica cap regulated airport charges, limiting the company’s ability to raise prices when traffic falls. Continued operation also requires keeping its concessions and meeting mandatory airport investment commitments.
The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.
Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.
PAC depends heavily on Volaris, its largest source of airline traffic: passenger charges collected by Volaris accounted for 21.9% of PAC’s combined aeronautical and non-aeronautical revenue in 2025.
ASUR shares PAC’s exposure to Mexican air-travel demand: both operate airports, collecting airport-use fees from airlines and passengers and rents from commercial tenants. Watch international passenger traffic at ASUR’s Cancún airport, whose destination competes with PAC’s resorts for tourists.
OMA and PAC both depend on Mexican passenger traffic and government airport concessions, earning fees from airlines and passengers and income from terminal businesses. OMA’s restaurant and retail rents offer a comparison for PAC’s commercial income, separate from regulated airport-use fees.
Corporación América Airports shares PAC’s dependence on passenger volumes: both operate airports under long-term concessions, charging airlines and passengers regulated fees for using facilities and earning commercial revenue. Its international passenger mix is worth watching because international fees are generally higher than domestic or transit fees.
American Airlines brings paying passengers to PAC’s airports and collects passenger charges that represented 5.2% of PAC’s combined aeronautical and non-aeronautical revenue in 2025. Watch its service at Los Cabos: American sells air travel, but its airport agreements do not require continuous service, and PAC cannot count on other airlines replacing cancelled flights.
American Airlines Group Inc. earningsAAL
American Airlines brings passengers to Pacific Airport Group’s airports and pays passenger charges, so its report can show whether that source of airport income is supported by its service and demand.
Watch American’s passenger demand and capacity, especially whether it maintains service at Los Cabos. Steady demand and continued service would support the airport charges Pacific Airport Group collects from its passengers; weaker demand or fewer flights could put those charges at risk, and Pacific Airport Group cannot count on other airlines replacing cancelled flights.
Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S.A. de C.V. earningsASR
ASUR’s Cancun airport serves international tourists, and its report can show whether this destination competing with Pacific Airport Group’s resorts is drawing more travelers.
Watch international passenger traffic at Cancun. Growth would show that a destination competing with Pacific Airport Group’s resort airports is attracting more international tourists, raising the competitive pressure on those destinations; weaker traffic would mean less evidence of that pull. Cancun’s figures alone cannot establish whether Pacific Airport Group’s own passenger traffic rose or fell.
Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte S.A.B. de C.V earningsOMAB
OMA’s restaurant and retail rents offer a comparison for the tenant businesses that support Pacific Airport Group’s commercial airport income, separate from regulated airport-use fees.
Read OMA’s restaurant and retail rents separately from regulated airport-use fees. Stable or rising rents would show that airport tenants can support commercial income, a constructive comparison for Pacific Airport Group’s commercial business; weaker rents would flag possible pressure on tenants and a reason to watch Pacific Airport Group’s commercial income. OMA’s figures are a comparison, not a substitute for Pacific Airport Group’s own tenant and revenue data.
Fed Interest Rate Decision
For Pacific Airport Group, U.S. rates matter because higher borrowing costs can increase interest expense on MBJA’s SOFR-linked revolving loan, while much of the group’s disclosed variable-rate debt is tied to Mexico’s TIIE.
Expected4.0%Last release4.0%
If it comes in above expectations
Higher-than-expected U.S. rates could raise interest expense on MBJA’s SOFR-linked loan when its rate resets, leaving less cash for airport operations and investment; the effect on the group’s TIIE-linked debt is not direct.
If it comes in below expectations
Lower-than-expected U.S. rates could reduce interest expense on MBJA’s SOFR-linked loan when its rate resets, leaving more cash for airport operations and investment; the effect on the group’s TIIE-linked debt is not direct.