Stock daily read

What happened with OPI today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

OPI in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Office Properties Income Trust leases space to businesses and government agencies, which pay rent and reimburse certain property expenses. The U.S. government is its largest tenant, making government demand for leased offices an important part of the business.

Rental cash flow depends on tenants paying, renewing leases and taking vacant space. Market conditions determine the rents OPI can charge; replacing a tenant that occupies most or all of a building can require substantial time and spending on improvements. OPI has no employees and relies on RMR for personnel, property management and other services.

OPI is in Chapter 11 bankruptcy reorganization. Transactions outside its ordinary business require Bankruptcy Court approval, limiting its freedom to sell properties or arrange financing. Its ability to continue operating depends on completing its reorganization plan and having enough cash afterward to meet its obligations. Under the plan, existing common shares will be cancelled without a distribution to their holders when the plan takes effect.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in OPI’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

OPI says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

OPI’s results hinge on office leasing demand, keeping government tenants and securing affordable capital, with RMR providing management.

  • Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc. and OPI both collect rent from office tenants, so tenant demand, lease renewals and the cost of vacant space matter to both. Watch Hudson Pacific’s office occupancy and rents among technology, media and entertainment tenants rather than its studio business for clues about office leasing conditions affecting OPI.

  • AH Realty Trust, Inc. and OPI both collect office rent in the Mid-Atlantic and Southeast, including Virginia, giving them exposure to some of the same regional leasing conditions. AH Realty’s office rental business is the useful comparison for OPI, rather than its substantial retail, apartment and property-financing businesses.

Agenda

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    The Fed’s decision on its policy interest rate matters to OPI because its fully drawn revolving credit facility has floating rates, so changes in borrowing rates can change OPI’s interest costs and cash flow.

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Office Properties Income Trust earningsThis company

    OPI’s report will show whether rent from tenant renewals and re-leasing vacant offices can support the office landlord’s cash flow.

in 16 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced

    Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc. earningsHPP

    Hudson Pacific’s report will show how office demand and rents from technology, media and entertainment tenants are changing, a signal for OPI’s own renewals and vacant-space leasing.