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What happened with NXGL today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

NXGL in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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Company

Company overview

NexGel makes water-rich gels that other companies use in wound-care, drug-delivery and cosmetic products. Customers pay for gel rolls made to their specifications, then package them into finished goods. This contract-manufacturing business was historically its main revenue source. NexGel also supplies finished, packaged products for customers to sell under their own brands; some arrangements start with a customer-paid development fee before a product order follows.

The company also sells directly to consumers through online and retail channels. MedaGel offers over-the-counter blister and pain remedies, Kenkoderm sells skincare for people with psoriasis, and Silly George focuses on false eyelashes and other eye-related beauty products. For these brands, NexGel handles marketing, sales and distribution rather than leaving those tasks to manufacturing customers.

Its consumer business relies heavily on Amazon and Shopify to reach buyers and distribute products. Across contract manufacturing and consumer products, sales depend on purchase orders: customers have no contractual obligation to buy a minimum amount.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in NXGL’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
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Moat

NXGL says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

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Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

NEXGEL also relies on its CG Laboratories joint venture for finished-goods capabilities and on Berry Global, DeWolf Chemical and Univar for its principal raw-material supplies.

  • NEXGEL's expansion depends on Celularity granting it exclusive rights to develop and sell certain degenerative-disease products, with payments and assumed sales-representative obligations attached. Celularity sells placental-derived materials used to repair tissue; sales of Biovance 3L and Rebound, its main degenerative-disease products, are worth watching for demand in the portfolio behind NEXGEL's expansion.

  • MiMedx Group competes with the Celularity products NEXGEL has licensed to sell, offering tissue from donated human placentas for wound treatment and surgery. Its U.S. wound-care and surgical sales are the closest area to watch for competitive pressure on NEXGEL's licensed biomaterials.

  • Procter & Gamble competes for consumer purchases through the same retail and online channels NEXGEL uses to sell its healthcare, skincare and beauty brands. P&G sells a much broader range of everyday products, so its overall sales are a less precise comparison for NEXGEL's branded consumer-product growth.

Agenda

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced

    MiMedx Group, Inc earningsMDXG

    MiMedx’s report will show what U.S. wound-care and surgical sales say about demand and competition in the market for Celularity products NexGel is licensed to sell.

in 21 daysTue, Nov 10

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    NexGel, Inc earningsThis company

    NexGel’s report will show whether the consumer brands driving recent growth are translating into better operating results.

in 24 daysFri, Nov 13

  1. Time to be announced

    Celularity Inc. earningsCELU

    Celularity’s report will show whether sales of the degenerative-disease products behind NexGel’s expansion plans point to real demand.