Stock daily read

What happened with NWPX today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

NWPX in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

NWPX Infrastructure, Inc. makes the pipes and related structures used to supply drinking water and handle wastewater and stormwater. Most revenue comes from Water Transmission Systems, which operates under the Northwest Pipe Company brand and makes large-diameter, high-pressure steel pipeline systems. Its other business, including NWPX Geneva and NWPX Park, supplies precast concrete pipe, drainage structures and engineered water-management systems.

Installation contractors generally buy these products for projects funded by public agencies, private water companies or developers. For water transmission projects, NWPX works with designers and owners during planning, then bids to supply the pipe to contractors once project plans are published. Many products are made to the project's specifications.

The steel-pipeline business depends primarily on public water infrastructure spending, project funding and approvals. Competitive bidding and steel costs affect what it can earn on those projects. The precast business depends more on construction activity, with sales concentrated in Texas and Utah.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in NWPX’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

NWPX says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

NWPX’s results hinge on water-project awards and pricing against rivals absent from this list: Thompson Pipe Group and American SpiralWeld Pipe in pipe, and Oldcastle Infrastructure in precast products.

  • Gorman-Rupp and NWPX both depend on municipal water and wastewater investment: Gorman-Rupp sells pumps and pump systems for those uses, while NWPX sells transmission pipe and precast infrastructure to installation contractors.

  • Granite Construction shares NWPX’s exposure to water-infrastructure construction and rehabilitation spending: Granite builds aqueducts, reservoirs and municipal water works for public and private clients, while NWPX sells pipe systems to installation contractors. Watch Granite’s municipal water-project work for signs of demand in the market NWPX serves, rather than treating Granite as a confirmed customer.

  • Nucor supplies the steel coil and plate NWPX turns into water-transmission pipe, so its steel pricing matters to NWPX’s costs; purchased steel typically accounts for about 29% of water-transmission project cost of sales. Watch coil and plate prices against NWPX’s fixed-price bids, because NWPX normally buys steel only after signing the pipe contract.

  • Steel Dynamics supplies coil and plate for NWPX’s water-transmission pipe, linking its steel business to the cost of pipe NWPX sells to installation contractors. Higher steel prices generally lift NWPX’s selling prices and revenue, but watch price changes between its fixed-price project quote and its later steel purchase for pressure on project margins.

Agenda

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    NWPX Infrastructure, Inc. earningsThis company

    NWPX Infrastructure's report will show whether sales of water pipe and precast infrastructure are turning into profit, and whether steel costs are squeezing fixed-price projects in its water-transmission business.

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced

    Granite Construction Inc. earningsGVA

    Granite Construction's report will show how municipal water projects are progressing, offering a demand signal for the pipe NWPX Infrastructure sells to installation contractors.