Stock daily read

What happened with NPT today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

NPT in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Texxon Holding Limited helps small and medium-sized businesses in China’s plastics and chemical industries buy raw materials through its supply-chain platform. It buys from manufacturers and distributors in response to customer orders and arranges delivery. Customers pay Texxon for the goods; procurement, logistics and payment services are built into the selling price rather than charged as separate platform fees. Basic chemicals generate most revenue, with plastic particles accounting for most of the rest.

One customer supplies most of its revenue, and customer orders are not backed by long-term agreements. Texxon also buys from suppliers without long-term supply contracts. Its earnings depend on securing products at prices it can profitably resell and passing higher purchase costs to customers. It uses third parties to store and transport hazardous chemicals; its hazardous-chemicals trading license excludes storage facilities.

Texxon is developing a polystyrene factory in Henan through Net Plastic New Material. Manufacturing had not yet generated revenue in the latest reported period, and trial production remained a plan. Continued operations depend on obtaining additional financing.

The Cayman Islands parent has no substantial operations of its own and relies on dividends from its Chinese subsidiaries for offshore cash needs. Those subsidiaries can distribute only retained earnings after required reserve allocations, while Chinese foreign-exchange controls can restrict conversion and offshore remittance of their cash.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in NPT’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

NPT says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

Texxon’s results hinge on Chinese chemical and plastics demand, thin resale margins and one customer accounting for 59.2% of revenue, while Xiangyu Group and Dawn Group compete with it in procurement.

Agenda

tomorrowWed, Oct 21

  1. 10:30 AMET

    EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Oct/16)

    Texxon’s inventory release tracks US crude oil and fuel stocks, which can move prices for the petroleum-derived materials in its products and change what it pays manufacturers or distributors versus what it earns reselling to customers.