Stock daily read

What happened with NPK today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

NPK in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Defense supplies most of National Presto Industries’ revenue. Its subsidiary AMTEC is the prime contractor for the U.S. Army’s 40mm ammunition programs; the broader defense business makes ammunition components and explosive devices and loads, assembles and packages ordnance for U.S. government agencies and prime contractors. Orders depend heavily on military requirements, congressional funding and government procurement rules. Most defense work uses prices agreed at the outset, with limited adjustments for rising costs, and the government can terminate contracts for convenience. The business must comply with defense procurement, export-control and firearms requirements.

The company also sells Presto pressure cookers, canners and other kitchen and household appliances to retailers and through independent distributors, mainly in the United States and Canada. Most products come from a small group of Asian suppliers, primarily in China. Retail customers do not commit to long-term purchases, and sales depend on consumer spending, particularly during the holiday season.

Its smaller Safety business sells smoke and carbon monoxide alarms through Rely Innovations and markets commercial fire extinguishers. This business remains at the startup stage with limited revenue; sales of certain products require approval from state and local fire-safety officials.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in NPK’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

NPK says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

National Presto Industries, Inc.’s results depend chiefly on U.S. Army ammunition requirements, contract funding and delivery against its backlog, while consumer demand for kitchen appliances provides a smaller revenue stream.

Agenda

in 3 daysFri, Oct 23

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    National Presto Industries, Inc. earningsThis company

    National Presto’s report will show whether its Defense backlog is turning into profit and cash, and whether seasonal appliance sales are also contributing.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    For National Presto, the Fed’s rate decision signals whether borrowing costs may rise or fall, affecting the cost of its line-of-credit borrowing.

in 28 daysTue, Nov 17

  1. 8:30 AMET pre-market

    Retail Sales MoM (Oct)

    U.S. retail sales track consumer spending, which can shape orders and revenue for National Presto’s housewares and small appliances, a business that typically peaks before the holiday season.