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What happened with MMLP today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

MMLP in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Martin Midstream Partners LP serves refiners, oil and gas producers, chemical companies and wholesale buyers, mainly around the U.S. Gulf Coast. Its terminals, storage facilities, refinery, trucks and vessels handle products these customers need processed, stored or moved. Customers pay storage, processing and transportation fees. Most fee-based contracts include reservation charges or minimum fees that remain payable regardless of volumes handled.

Product sales are also central to the business. It buys propane and other natural gas liquids from refiners and gas processors for resale to industrial users and propane retailers, and blends and packages lubricants and grease. These specialty products form its largest revenue line, followed by transportation. It also collects molten sulfur from refineries, processes it and sells sulfur and sulfur-based fertilizers through distributors. Product earnings depend on sales volumes and the difference between purchase costs and selling prices; propane and fertilizer demand have winter and spring peaks, respectively.

Martin Resource Management Corporation is an important customer and supplier, controls the partnership through its general partner, and supplies the people who run it. The Smackover refinery is dedicated to that sponsor’s subsidiary under a long-term processing agreement. Separately, one unnamed specialty-products customer supplies a substantial share of total revenue.

The business depends on activity at Gulf Coast refineries and other energy customers. Environmental permits and operating requirements constrain its facilities, while the Jones Act restricts domestic marine transportation to U.S.-built and registered vessels with U.S.-citizen ownership and crews.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in MMLP’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

MMLP says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Martin Midstream’s results hinge on Gulf Coast refinery logistics and its sponsor, Martin Resource Management Corporation, which controls its general partner, operates its assets and is an important supplier and customer.

  • Global Partners LP shares Martin Midstream’s exposure to demand for petroleum-product and propane storage, transport and wholesale sales to refiners, distributors and other buyers, but leans more toward the U.S. Northeast and retail fuel distribution. Watch Global’s wholesale fuel and propane sales for a read on shared demand, rather than treating its gas-station business as a guide to Martin’s Gulf Coast logistics.

Agenda

tomorrowWed, Oct 21

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Martin Midstream Partners LP earningsThis company

    Martin Midstream Partners’ report will show whether terminal and transportation fees can offset weaker margins on sulfur, NGL and specialty-product sales.

  2. 10:30 AMET

    EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Oct/16)

    Martin Midstream earns fees for handling and transporting petroleum products and serving refiners, so US crude oil and gasoline stocks, which indicate supply relative to demand, can signal changes in refinery and customer activity that affect its service volumes.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    Martin Midstream’s variable-rate credit-facility debt means Fed decisions, which set a key economy-wide interest rate, can change what it pays to borrow and leave less or more cash after interest for its business and distributions.

in 17 daysFri, Nov 6

  1. Time to be announced

    Global Partners LP earningsGLP

    Global Partners’ report will show how wholesale demand for fuel and propane is changing, offering a read on demand for products and logistics Martin Midstream also serves.

in 28 daysTue, Nov 17

  1. 9:15 AMET pre-market

    Industrial Production MoM (Oct)

    Martin Midstream earns fees for storing, moving and processing petroleum products for refiners and chemical companies, so factory, mine and utility output—which this release tracks—can change customer activity and the volumes it handles.