Stock daily read

What happened with MLI today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

MLI in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Mueller Industries supplies the pipes, fittings and components used in plumbing, heating, air-conditioning and refrigeration systems. Piping Systems brings in most of its revenue, selling manufactured copper tube and fittings, alongside resold plumbing products, to wholesalers, building-material retailers and air-conditioning manufacturers. Its other businesses sell metal materials and components to industrial manufacturers, and refrigeration components and air ducts to equipment makers and wholesalers. No single customer dominates sales.

Demand depends heavily on new housing and commercial construction, with repairs and remodeling also generating orders. On certain product lines, profit depends on the gap between metal costs and selling prices. Mueller generally adjusts prices to pass raw-material cost changes to customers, so those businesses depend on maintaining that gap as copper and other metal prices move, as well as securing enough material to keep factories supplied.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in MLI’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

MLI says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Watts Water Technologies competes with Mueller Industries for plumbing-valve and flow-control sales to wholesalers and equipment makers, and both depend on building plumbing and heating demand. Watch Watts’ residential and commercial flow-control and protection sales for a read on the building-water demand that also matters to Mueller.

  • Parker-Hannifin competes with Mueller Industries for sales of refrigeration valves and controls to HVAC and refrigeration equipment makers and distributors. Parker’s news about these products is the part to watch for competition facing Mueller’s Climate business.

  • Quanex Building Products Corporation shares Mueller Industries’ exposure to residential and commercial construction: it sells window and door components to building-product makers, while Mueller supplies plumbing and HVAC components. Quanex’s sales of window and door seals, screens and hardware offer another view of the construction and renovation demand that also drives Mueller’s sales.

Agenda

tomorrowTue, Oct 20

  1. 8:30 AMET pre-market

    Housing Starts (Sep)

    Mueller sells copper tube, fittings and HVAC and plumbing products to wholesalers and OEMs, so reports tracking how many homes are being built signal demand for products used in new housing as well as repair and remodeling.

in 8 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Mueller Industries, Inc. earningsThis company

    Mueller Industries earns on the spread between prices for copper and brass products and metal costs, and its report will show whether sales volumes and gross margin are sustaining that spread.

in 16 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    Watts Water Technologies, Inc. earningsWTS

    Watts Water Technologies sells residential and commercial flow-control and protection products into a building-water market Mueller also serves, so its report offers a read on demand for Mueller’s pipes and valves.