Stock daily read

What happened with MGLD today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

MGLD in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

The Marygold Companies owns several businesses, but USCF Investments supplies most of its revenue. USCF’s subsidiaries manage exchange-traded funds and receive monthly management and investment-advisory fees from those funds, calculated on their average assets under management. United States Oil Fund, United States Copper Index Fund and United States Natural Gas Fund together account for a large share of USCF’s revenue. Its earnings therefore depend heavily on asset values and investors keeping money in its funds; many operating costs also rise and fall with managed assets.

The smaller businesses include Original Sprout, which sells its own hair- and skin-care products through distributors, retailers and online channels, and Marygold UK, which earns asset-based advisory fees and commissions from insurance and other financial-product referrals. The UK investment-adviser subsidiaries must maintain minimum capital. At the parent company, cash flow depends principally on payments from subsidiaries, which are not obliged to provide funds.

Marygold is narrowing its activities toward fund management and financial services. It has sold its security-systems business and plans to sell its New Zealand food-products businesses, although that sale remains incomplete. Its US and UK fintech app operations are paused indefinitely.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in MGLD’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

MGLD says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

The Marygold Companies, Inc.’s results hinge primarily on the fund assets on which USCF earns fees, making investor flows and commodity-price moves in its oil, copper and natural-gas funds the key things to watch.

  • Sprott Inc. competes with The Marygold Companies, Inc.’s USCF for investors’ money in exchange-traded resource investments; both manage these products and collect fees from the funds based on the assets they hold. Watch assets in Sprott’s precious-metals and critical-materials trusts and ETFs for signs of investor appetite for resource investments, rather than a direct read on USCF’s oil, copper and natural-gas funds.

Agenda

tomorrowWed, Oct 21

  1. 10:30 AMET

    EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Oct/16)

    Marygold’s USCF earns management fees tied to the United States Oil Fund’s assets, so EIA readings on how much crude oil and gasoline are in storage can affect oil prices, the fund’s performance and assets, and fee revenue.

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    Sprott Inc. earningsSII

    Sprott’s report will show whether investors are putting money into precious-metals and critical-materials products, offering a demand signal for resource funds managed by Marygold’s USCF.