Stock daily read

What happened with LTH today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

LTH in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Life Time Group Holdings, Inc. runs resort-like athletic clubs in the United States and Canada, primarily in affluent markets. Members pay for access to fitness facilities, pools, sports and other amenities, with offerings varying by location. Monthly dues and enrollment fees provide most revenue. Members also pay for services such as Dynamic Personal Training, swim lessons and spa treatments, and for café purchases.

Memberships run month to month rather than under long-term contracts, and members can cancel with advance notice. The business therefore depends on attracting and retaining members willing to pay its prices, and on their use of paid services beyond basic access.

Most clubs are leased. Opening more clubs requires suitable sites, coordination with landlords and developers, financing and permits; new clubs take several years to build toward expected performance. Its health and wellness services also operate under licensing requirements covering both services and providers.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in LTH’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

LTH says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Life Time’s results hinge on demand for premium memberships, dues increases and new clubs gaining members; Equinox is an important premium fitness rival missing from this list.

  • Planet Fitness competes with Life Time for consumers paying recurring gym fees, but offers low-cost access rather than Life Time’s premium fitness and wellness clubs. Watch the monthly dues and annual fees collected by Planet Fitness and its franchisees as a window into budget gym demand, not a direct measure of demand for Life Time’s premium memberships.

Agenda

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    For Life Time, the Fed’s policy rate—the rate that helps set borrowing costs across the economy—can affect interest paid on debt that reprices and on new borrowing, while its term loan was effectively fixed at 5.409% at year-end.

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Life Time Group Holdings, Inc. earningsThis company

    Life Time’s report will show whether member dues and spending on club services continue to support growth at its premium athletic clubs.

in 16 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced

    Planet Fitness, Inc. earningsPLNT

    Planet Fitness’s report will show whether consumers keep paying recurring fees for low-cost gyms, offering a window into the competition Life Time faces for fitness spending.