Stock daily read

What happened with LOOP today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

LOOP in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Loop Industries breaks down waste PET packaging and polyester textiles into their chemical building blocks, purifies them, and makes recycled resin and fiber with virgin-material quality. Its Infinite Loop technology targets apparel and consumer packaged goods companies that need recycled materials for textiles and packaging, including food packaging.

The business is still at the pre-commercialization stage, with limited revenue. Engineering work for its India joint venture supplies most of its current revenue; resin sales are small. It has also received an upfront technology-license payment from Reed Circular Economy, an affiliate of Reed Societe Generale Group, for a planned European facility. Its small Terrebonne facility in Québec supplies some customers but mainly supports research, training and marketing; the technology has not yet been tested at large commercial scale.

Loop plans to earn royalties and a share of operating profits from factories developed with partners. At the planned India plant with Ester, it would also be the exclusive seller of the products. Nike has agreed to buy Twist, Loop’s polyester resin made from textile waste, once that plant operates, subject to the agreement’s terms. The European arrangement offers another route: licensing the technology without Loop owning most of the factory.

These plans depend on Ester and Reed advancing their projects and on additional financing for construction and Loop’s ongoing operations. The India plant remains in early development, before construction. License payments depend on project progress and contractual conditions; factories also need permits, and food-packaging approvals require continuing regulatory compliance.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in LOOP’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

LOOP says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Loop’s results hinge on financing and scaling its planned plants with Ester and Reed Societe Generale Group, while Nike’s contracted purchases depend on the India plant becoming operational.

  • Aduro Clean Technologies Inc. and Loop face the same challenge: funding and winning commercial partners for technologies that turn waste plastics into reusable materials, with plant operators paying to use their technology, though they process different plastics. Watch Aduro’s progress bringing its technology into partners’ existing plants and securing royalty-bearing licenses as a sign of commercial uptake for this business model.

Agenda

tomorrowWed, Oct 21

  1. 10:30 AMET

    EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Oct/16)

    The EIA’s weekly stocks report tracks how much crude oil and gasoline are held in storage; by influencing oil prices, it can change whether packaging and apparel customers find Loop Industries’ recycled PET resin more attractive than virgin PET and how much they buy.

in 85 daysWed, Jan 13

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Loop Industries, Inc. earningsThis company

    Loop Industries, Inc. has yet to establish recurring commercial revenue, and this report will show whether resin or licensing income is joining India project engineering fees as cash use changes.