Stock daily read

What happened with LKQ today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

LKQ in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

LKQ Corporation supplies the parts businesses need to repair and maintain vehicles. It buys new parts from aftermarket suppliers and dismantles total-loss vehicles to recover reusable parts, selling these alongside reconditioned products. Repair shops and car dealerships pay LKQ for parts delivered through its distribution network; it also sells through other distributors and to retail customers. Europe is its largest business, including LKQ Euro Car Parts, while North American businesses include Keystone and Bumper to Bumper. Together, Europe and North America generate most revenue.

Its smaller Specialty business sells vehicle accessories for uses such as towing, off-road driving and recreational vehicles, with brands including Warn and TrailFX. Nearly all company revenue comes from parts, vehicle products and related services rather than recycling byproducts.

Demand depends on collisions, mechanical failures and routine maintenance. Insurers influence which collision parts repair shops use, even though they do not buy the parts directly. LKQ also relies on imported aftermarket parts and access to salvage vehicles, much of which comes through a concentrated auction market. Its ability to sell alternatives to vehicle manufacturers’ original parts depends on acceptance by repairers and insurers and on legal permission: some jurisdictions require owner consent or certification, or restrict certain salvaged parts.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in LKQ’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

LKQ says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

LKQ’s results depend chiefly on maintenance demand from vehicles already on the road, especially in Europe, and on collision-repair volumes and insurers’ acceptance of alternative parts.

  • Genuine Parts competes with LKQ for repair-shop and dealership spending on replacement parts in North America and Europe. Watch its automotive parts sales to commercial customers for a read on the repair demand that also supports LKQ.

  • PPG Industries and LKQ both depend on collision-repair spending: PPG sells coatings to repaint vehicles, while LKQ supplies replacement parts and body-repair paint products for the same repairs. Demand for PPG’s automotive refinish coatings offers a read on activity that also drives LKQ’s collision-parts sales.

Agenda

todayTue, Oct 20

  1. Time to be announced

    Genuine Parts Company earningsGPC

    Genuine Parts' report will show whether repair shops and dealerships are still buying automotive parts in North America and Europe, where their spending also supports LKQ's replacement-parts business.

in 7 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced

    PPG Industries, Inc. earningsPPG

    PPG Industries' report will show whether demand for automotive refinish coatings is holding up, a signal of collision-repair activity that also drives LKQ's collision-parts sales.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    The Fed’s policy rate—the rate that guides borrowing costs—matters to LKQ because changes in rates can raise or lower interest paid on its variable-rate debt, leaving more or less cash for operations and investment.

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    LKQ Corporation earningsThis company

    LKQ's report will show whether repair shops and dealerships are buying enough replacement parts and maintenance products to steady its North America and Europe businesses.