Stock daily read

What happened with LASR today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

LASR in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

nLIGHT, Inc. supplies semiconductor and fiber lasers that customers build into their own laser systems and manufacturing equipment. These lasers provide energy for other lasers, cut and weld materials, create microscopic structures, and support defense applications such as laser sensing and systems that direct laser energy at targets. Product sales generate most revenue, and aerospace and defense is its largest market.

The company also earns a substantial share of revenue from contracts to research, design and prototype next-generation defense laser technologies. It sells directly to the U.S. Government and defense contractors, including Northrop Grumman. The U.S. Government alone supplies a large share of revenue, beyond sales to contractors serving it, and a small group of customers accounts for most revenue.

The defense business depends on government funding, procurement decisions and contract execution. Product customers generally buy through short-term orders rather than commitments to keep purchasing. Export controls and licensing requirements restrict where nLIGHT can sell certain products and technologies; classified government work also requires security clearances and limits what it can disclose.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in LASR’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

LASR says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

nLIGHT increasingly depends on U.S. government directed-energy funding and defense customers such as Raytheon Technologies; Coherent is an important laser rival missing from this list.

  • IPG Photonics competes with nLIGHT to sell fiber lasers, semiconductor laser sources and amplifiers to customers building laser systems and manufacturing tools. Watch IPG’s materials-processing sales for a read on the industrial demand both face, including laser cutting and welding.

  • Northrop Grumman is a named top customer, so demand from its defense programs matters to nLIGHT’s sales of laser products and services. Northrop earns most of its business from long-term U.S. defense and intelligence contracts; watch funding for its advanced laser programs as a signal for nLIGHT’s aerospace and defense revenue.

  • MKS’s Spectra-Physics laser business competes with nLIGHT for equipment makers buying lasers for precision manufacturing and making microscale structures, or microfabrication.

Agenda

todayTue, Oct 20

  1. Time to be announced

    Northrop Grumman Corp. earningsNOC

    Northrop Grumman’s report will show how its defense business is faring, offering a broad demand signal for the market nLIGHT serves.

in 14 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. Time to be announced

    IPG Photonics Corporation earningsIPGP

    IPG Photonics’ report will show whether customers are buying materials-processing lasers, a market where its industrial fiber lasers compete with nLIGHT’s.

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    MKS Inc. earningsMKSI

    MKS’s report will show whether equipment makers are buying precision-manufacturing lasers, where its Spectra-Physics business competes with nLIGHT for microfabrication customers.

in 16 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    nLIGHT, Inc. earningsThis company

    nLIGHT’s report will show whether sales of its aerospace and defense lasers are still supporting growth without eroding product margins.