Stock daily read

What happened with KSPI today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

KSPI in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Kaspi.kz runs linked consumer and merchant apps in Kazakhstan. Consumers use the Kaspi.kz Super App to shop, pay and borrow; merchants use Kaspi Pay to accept payments and sell to those consumers. Its marketplace mainly connects shoppers with third-party sellers, who pay merchant fees and can buy advertising and delivery services. Payments also generate fees from merchants and consumers. Marketplace and lending account for the bulk of revenue.

The lending business provides purchase installments, consumer loans and financing for merchants and small businesses. It earns mainly interest, using customer deposits as its principal funding source and lending only in local currency. Earnings depend on borrowers repaying and on the cost of deposits relative to lending income.

Kaspi.kz also controls Hepsiburada in Türkiye, which both sells goods directly to shoppers and hosts third-party merchants. This adds direct retail sales to the group's largely fee-based marketplace business.

The business depends on consumers continuing to spend through its apps and merchants continuing to offer products there, with Kazakhstan remaining its main market. Kaspi Bank's license is essential to lending, deposit-taking and payment processing. Kazakhstan also caps consumer-loan interest rates and requires the bank to maintain minimum capital and reserves.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in KSPI’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

KSPI says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Beyond its Turkish subsidiary and overseas app comparisons, Kaspi.kz’s results depend mainly on Kazakhstan consumer spending, credit quality and the cost of funding loans with tenge deposits.

  • D-Market Electronic Services & Trading, known as Hepsiburada, directly affects Kaspi.kz’s profit: Kaspi.kz controls and consolidates the Turkish business, which sells goods to shoppers and operates a marketplace for merchants. Its ₸93,018 million net loss was the main reason Kaspi.kz’s Marketplace net income fell 20% in 2025, making its losses a key figure to watch.

  • Alibaba Group matters to Kaspi.kz through Trendyol, which competes with Kaspi.kz’s controlled Hepsiburada marketplace for shoppers and merchants in Türkiye.

  • PayPay Corporation offers a close comparison for Kaspi.kz’s Kazakhstan apps: it combines smartphone payments for shoppers and merchants with banking and credit in Japan. Watch whether greater payment use draws more merchants and encourages customers to adopt banking services—the same payment-to-finance connection that matters for Kaspi.kz.

  • Grab Holdings provides a Southeast Asian comparison for Kaspi.kz’s combined shopping, payments and lending apps, though Grab relies more on rides and deliveries and earns most revenue from driver and merchant fees. Its merchant payment-processing fees offer a concrete comparison for Kaspi.kz’s payments business, alongside Grab’s lending and digital banking services.

  • PayPal offers a comparison for Kaspi.kz because both connect consumers with merchants for payments and earn revenue from transaction fees, credit products and customer balances. Watch PayPal’s payment-fee revenue alongside interest and fees from consumer and merchant credit to compare how payment activity translates into earnings.

Agenda

in 14 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. Time to be announced

    PayPay Corporation earningsPAYP

    PayPay's report will show whether greater smartphone payment use draws in merchants and leads customers to adopt banking services, the same payment-to-finance link that matters to Kaspi.kz.

in 20 daysMon, Nov 9

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz earningsThis company

    Kaspi.kz's report will show whether fees from payments and merchants, and interest from lending, turn into more profit after rewards, deposit funding costs and losses in Türkiye.

in 49 daysTue, Dec 8

  1. Time to be announced

    D-Market Electronic Services & Trading earningsHEPS

    Hepsiburada's report gives a direct read on whether the Turkish marketplace Kaspi.kz controls can grow sales while narrowing the losses that weigh on Kaspi.kz's Marketplace profit.