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What happened with JAGX today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

JAGX in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Jaguar Health’s main business is human gastrointestinal medicine, developed through its subsidiary Napo Pharmaceuticals. Its main commercial drug, Mytesi, treats non-infectious diarrhea in adults with HIV/AIDS who receive antiretroviral therapy. It also supplies Canalevia-CA1 for chemotherapy-induced diarrhea in dogs and markets Gelclair in the United States, a prescription mouth gel that protects the oral lining and relieves oral mucositis pain.

Future Pak now exclusively markets Mytesi and Canalevia-CA1 in the United States, while Jaguar remains responsible for manufacturing them. Jaguar received upfront licensing payments and may earn further payments when sales milestones are reached. Its ongoing revenue depends heavily on supplying a single customer, Woodward Specialty, under the manufacturing and supply agreement—not on royalties from that customer’s sales.

Both diarrhea drugs use crofelemer, made from latex harvested from Croton lechleri trees. Jaguar relies on outside raw-material suppliers and contract manufacturers, including Alivus Life Sciences, to produce it. Napo is developing crofelemer for additional uses, including rare gastrointestinal conditions, but those uses need regulatory approval before marketing. Canalevia-CA1 has conditional FDA approval; continued marketing requires progress toward full approval and the necessary evidence of effectiveness.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in JAGX’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

JAGX says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Jaguar Health’s near-term results depend heavily on Future Pak’s commercialization of Mytesi and Canalevia-CA1, the associated payments and Jaguar’s continued manufacturing supply.

  • Ironwood Pharmaceuticals is pursuing the same patients as Jaguar’s crofelemer powder program: people with short bowel syndrome and intestinal failure. Its development of apraglutide is the competing treatment effort to watch.

  • Takeda’s GATTEX already serves the short bowel syndrome treatment market Jaguar is targeting with its crofelemer intestinal-failure program, treating U.S. adults and children who depend on intravenous nutritional support. Watch GATTEX alongside Jaguar’s proposed role for crofelemer in patients who cannot use, tolerate or benefit from GLP-2 treatments such as GATTEX.

Agenda

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced

    Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited earningsTAK

    Takeda’s report will show demand for GATTEX among people with short bowel syndrome, giving Jaguar Health a read on the market for its crofelemer intestinal-failure program in patients who cannot use or benefit from GLP-2 treatment.

in 23 daysThu, Nov 12

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Jaguar Health, Inc. earningsThis company

    Jaguar Health still manufactures Mytesi and Canalevia-CA1 for Future Pak, and this report will show whether those products are bringing in revenue to support Jaguar’s business.