Stock daily read

What happened with IOSP today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

IOSP in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Innospec supplies chemicals that customers use in their products and industrial operations. Fuel Specialties and Performance Chemicals together generate most of its revenue. Fuel Specialties sells additives to oil companies, fuel marketers and industrial users to improve fuel efficiency, engine performance and emissions. Performance Chemicals supplies manufacturers with chemicals for personal-care and household products, as well as industrial processes; personal care is its largest market.

Oilfield Services supplies chemicals used to drill wells, prepare them for production and support oil and gas extraction and flow. Exploration and production companies and oilfield-service companies pay for these products. Demand depends heavily on their drilling, production and related spending.

Across the business, Innospec depends on developing formulations that meet changing customer needs and securing raw materials at costs it can pass through in selling prices. Sales are spread across customers rather than dominated by one buyer. Many products require regulatory registration, and some need approval before sale. Fuel Specialties also includes AvGas, Innospec’s tetraethyl lead product for aviation gasoline. Innospec is the only producer of this additive; EU use by leaded-aviation-fuel blenders is restricted to authorized users, while government and industry initiatives seek to replace leaded fuel.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in IOSP’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

IOSP says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Innospec’s largest profit contributor, Fuel Specialties, also faces important competition from Lubrizol and BASF, neither of which appears on this list.

  • NewMarket Corporation’s Afton competes with Innospec’s largest profit contributor by selling fuel additives to gasoline, diesel and refinery markets, where Innospec serves oil companies and fuel sellers. Watch Afton’s fuel-additive product launches for advances in performance and cost that Innospec must compete against.

  • Stepan Co. competes with Innospec for personal-care and household-cleaning manufacturers buying surfactants for their products. That makes Stepan a company to watch for competition in Innospec’s personal- and home-care business, rather than fuel additives.

  • Ascent Industries Co. competes with Innospec across both care products and oilfield production, selling surfactants and tailored chemical formulations to those markets. Watch Ascent’s development of customized formulations for cleaning products and oilfield production, where its offerings overlap with Innospec’s sales to care-product manufacturers and oil-and-gas customers.

Agenda

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced

    NewMarket Corporation earningsNEU

    NewMarket Corporation’s report will show what fuel additives its Afton business is bringing to the markets it shares with Innospec, and how much competition those products may pose for Innospec’s fuel customers.

  2. Time to be announced

    Stepan Co. earningsSCL

    Stepan’s report will show how manufacturers of personal-care and household-cleaning products are buying surfactants, customers Innospec also competes to serve.

in 14 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Innospec Inc. earningsThis company

    Innospec’s report will show whether margin improvement in businesses such as personal care can hold and whether Oilfield Services has stopped shrinking.