Stock daily read

What happened with IMDX today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

IMDX in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Insight Molecular Diagnostics is an early-stage diagnostics company. Life-sciences and biotechnology companies pay it to develop assays, test biomarkers and support clinical trials. These laboratory projects supply nearly all its revenue, mostly from one existing customer. Customers pay under project agreements based on work performed, tests or deliverables, so revenue depends heavily on that customer’s project scope and continuation.

The company is shifting its commercial focus toward GraftAssure transplant tests. These measure DNA released by the donated organ into the recipient’s blood to help assess rejection. Its aim is to sell kits that hospitals and laboratories can run locally rather than send samples to a central laboratory. GraftAssureIQ already brings in a small amount of revenue from research laboratories, but it cannot be marketed for clinical diagnosis. GraftAssureDx is still in development; the company has sought FDA authorization for kidney testing, and clinical kit sales require regulatory authorization.

GraftAssureCore is performed at the company’s Franklin, Tennessee laboratory, with Medicare coverage for certain kidney-transplant patients. Payment for clinical testing depends on payer coverage and reimbursement; the company has no commercial-insurer network contracts, and claims may be delayed or denied. GraftAssure also relies on Bio-Rad instruments and reagents, and Bio-Rad is a key partner in developing and commercializing the transplant kits.

Read allShow less
Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in IMDX’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

IMDX says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • CareDx competes with iMDx for transplant centers buying molecular tests to monitor organ rejection. Watch adoption of CareDx’s diagnostic tests at those centers: its established customer base and ability to sell multiple services into the same center matter for iMDx’s entry into its main near-term market.

  • iMDx depends on Bio-Rad Laboratories for the instruments and reagents that run its GraftAssure transplant tests; reagents for the chosen instrument come only from its manufacturer. Bio-Rad also helps develop and commercialize transplant test kits, making progress on those joint products especially relevant to iMDx.

  • Natera competes with iMDx’s GraftAssure tests in kidney, heart and lung transplant rejection monitoring, selling molecular tests directly and through laboratory and distribution partners. Watch Natera’s organ-health testing business rather than its broader oncology and women’s health offerings: its established transplant customer base is the direct challenge to iMDx.

Agenda

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced

    CareDx, Inc. earningsCDNA

    CareDx's report will show how transplant centers are using molecular rejection tests in the market where iMDx is trying to win customers.

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    Bio-Rad Laboratories, Inc. earningsBIO

    Bio-Rad's report offers a read on the supplier behind the instruments and reagents used in iMDx's GraftAssure tests.

in 20 daysMon, Nov 9

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Insight Molecular Diagnostics Inc. earningsThis company

    This report will show whether Insight Molecular Diagnostics Inc. is adding transplant-test product revenue to its project-based laboratory services.