Stock daily read

What happened with HMH today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

HMH in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

HMH Holding Inc. equips drilling rigs with machinery and systems that control well pressure, including blowout preventers. Drilling contractors are its largest customer group; oil and gas operators and shipyards also buy its equipment. It sells complete packages for new or reactivated rigs and components to upgrade existing fleets, using brands including Hydril and Wirth. Oil and gas drilling is its main market, especially offshore, though it also serves hard-rock mining customers.

Once equipment is installed, customers pay HMH for maintenance, repairs, inspections, recertification and replacement parts throughout its operating life. These services and parts together generate most of its revenue, predominantly from offshore oil and gas. U.S. and European rules require original manufacturers to perform regular inspections and certification of subsea blowout preventers and drilling risers, supporting HMH’s continuing service role.

Demand depends on how much rigs work, how old the equipment is and customers’ drilling investment. Equipment projects also depend on rig construction and upgrade cycles. Revenue is concentrated among a few large customers, with one customer contributing a substantial share. Trade restrictions limit where HMH can operate: it has withdrawn from Russia and no longer supports equipment installed there.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in HMH’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

HMH says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

HMH depends heavily on offshore rigs staying active and maintained, and Schlumberger’s Cameron business is a major drilling-equipment rival to watch beyond this list.

  • NOV competes directly with HMH to sell complete offshore drilling-equipment packages to oil and gas customers and support that equipment after installation. Watch NOV’s Energy Equipment business for competition in integrated drilling systems and their ongoing support.

  • Forum Energy Technologies, Inc. overlaps with HMH in selling equipment for rig construction and upgrades, plus replacement or consumable equipment used during drilling, to oil and gas operators and service companies. Its drilling consumables sales offer a view of ongoing drilling demand, distinct from the rig-building spending that supports HMH’s project revenue.

  • Baker Hughes and HMH both depend on oilfield customers’ spending: Baker Hughes supplies offshore oilfield equipment and services, while HMH supplies and maintains the drilling systems used to develop those fields. Baker Hughes’ subsea projects and services are worth watching for the offshore development activity that matters to HMH.

  • TechnipFMC and HMH both depend on offshore field-development investment, but sell different equipment: TechnipFMC supplies subsea production systems and integrated development projects, while HMH supplies the drilling equipment those fields need. TechnipFMC’s Subsea business gives a view of spending on offshore oil and gas production and transportation, rather than on drilling rigs themselves.

  • Oil States International, Inc. shares HMH’s exposure to offshore energy-equipment spending: Oil States manufactures products for energy customers, while HMH supplies offshore drilling systems and maintains them throughout their working lives. Its Offshore Manufactured Products segment is the business to watch for this connection, rather than its well-completion services.

  • Weatherford and HMH both depend on oil and gas customers’ drilling and well-construction spending worldwide: Weatherford supplies equipment and services for the wells, while HMH supplies and maintains the rigs’ drilling systems. Weatherford’s Drilling and Evaluation and Well Construction and Completions results offer a view of that customer spending.

Agenda

todayTue, Oct 20

  1. Time to be announced

    Weatherford International plc earningsWFRD

    Weatherford’s drilling and well-construction results will show whether oil and gas customers’ well spending is supporting the rig use and maintenance work HMH depends on.

in 7 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced

    NOV Inc. earningsNOV

    NOV’s Energy Equipment results will show demand for integrated offshore drilling systems and how NOV is competing with HMH for equipment orders and follow-on support work.

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced

    Forum Energy Technologies, Inc. earningsFET

    Forum Energy Technologies’ drilling-consumables sales will show how actively customers are drilling, a separate signal from new rig orders for HMH’s parts and maintenance demand.

in 43 daysWed, Dec 2

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    HMH Holding Inc. earningsThis company

    HMH’s report will show whether customer demand for servicing its drilling equipment and for spare parts can support revenue beyond equipment sales.