Stock daily read

What happened with GOLD today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

GOLD in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Gold.com, Inc. supplies precious-metal dealers, financial institutions and industrial buyers with coins and bars for resale, investment or manufacturing. Wholesale trading generates most of its revenue. It buys metal products from mints and other suppliers, as well as from customers, and maintains both buying and selling prices. Its own Silver Towne Mint and Sunshine Minting operations also produce silver bullion and custom products.

Retail sales are another substantial business. Customers buy precious metals through JMB’s websites and businesses such as Goldline and Monex; customer buyback programs supply inventory for resale. Gold.com also charges for storage and logistics. Its CFC subsidiary earns interest by lending against borrowers’ bullion, collectible coins and other eligible assets, which are held as collateral.

Earnings depend on trading activity and the spreads and product premiums customers pay, not simply on rising metal prices. Gold.com uses futures and forward contracts to reduce its exposure to metal-price changes. Deutsche Bank accounts for a substantial share of revenue as a trading counterparty, including forward transactions used for hedging rather than physical product delivery.

The business needs external financing to carry inventory and support lending. Recently, precious-metals leases have supplied most of its liquidity, with Tether providing the majority of those leases. Access to mint products also depends on distribution agreements that the mints can terminate. Retail financing has regulatory limits: Goldline discontinued certain financing arrangements after settling a CFTC action concerning retail commodity transactions conducted outside regulated exchanges.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in GOLD’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

GOLD says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

Gold.com's results depend on demand for physical bullion, sales volumes and premiums rather than unhedged gold-price exposure, so the supplied miners and hedging counterparty are weak business comparisons.

Agenda

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    Gold.com’s Fed rate decision tracks the cost of borrowing across the economy, which can change what the company pays on variable-rate financing and what CFC earns on loans.

in 16 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Gold.com, Inc. earningsThis company

    Gold.com’s report will show whether delivered metal volume and retail premiums lift gross profit, rather than just revenue inflated by metal prices and forward sales.