Stock daily read

What happened with GNE today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

GNE in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Genie Energy Ltd. serves customers in U.S. markets where households and businesses can choose their energy supplier. Its main business, Genie Retail Energy (GRE), sells through providers including IDT Energy and Residents Energy. Retail energy supplies nearly all company revenue, with electricity accounting for most sales and natural gas a smaller share.

GRE buys energy wholesale, while local utilities deliver it and handle billing and collection for most customers. In many territories, utilities buy GRE’s customer receivables at a discount and take responsibility for collection, limiting GRE’s exposure to unpaid bills. GRE offers both fixed-price contracts and prices it can adjust monthly. Its earnings depend on the spread between customer prices and wholesale supply and related costs; fixed-price contracts limit its ability to pass on cost increases.

Weather affects consumption and purchase costs, while keeping customers requires competitive prices and replacing those who switch suppliers. Some GRE providers buy energy from BP Energy Company under an agreement that requires them to maintain specified covenants. Providers also need licenses in each state and utility territory and must follow rules governing marketing and customer contracts. After Maryland ended receivables purchases and utility billing for residential customers, Genie stopped serving those customers there.

The much smaller Genie Renewables business earns revenue mainly through Diversegy’s energy-procurement advisory commissions and fees. It also develops and operates solar projects through Genie Solar.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in GNE’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

GNE says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Genie's results hinge on keeping retail customers and the gap between customer prices and wholesale energy costs, making BP Energy Company an important contracted supplier to watch outside this list.

  • Exelon's utilities offer regulated default electricity and gas supply in several of Genie's core Eastern and Midwestern markets, so their prices affect customers' willingness to switch to or stay with Genie's retail supply contracts and the margins Genie can earn. Watch Exelon's electricity and gas supply prices in these shared markets, rather than its transmission and distribution revenue.

  • Public Service Enterprise Group's PSE&G competes with Genie's retail suppliers for New Jersey customers choosing who sells them electricity and gas, while also providing supply when customers have no alternative supplier. PSE&G's default supply offer is the alternative Genie must persuade those customers to leave.

  • Con Edison's default electricity and gas supply prices in New York affect whether customers stay with Genie's retail contracts. Those supply offers matter more for Genie's customer retention than Con Edison's own earnings from delivering electricity and gas.

Agenda

tomorrowWed, Oct 21

  1. 10:30 AMET

    EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Oct/16)

    Genie Energy’s retail energy business buys electricity and natural gas wholesale to resell to households and businesses, so crude oil and gasoline stock readings can signal price pressure on supply costs that may widen or squeeze the difference between customer prices and those costs.

in 10 daysFri, Oct 30

  1. Time to be announced

    Exelon Corporation earningsEXC

    Exelon’s report will show how its default electricity and gas offers in shared Eastern and Midwestern markets shape customers’ willingness to choose Genie Energy’s retail contracts.

in 14 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    GENIE ENERGY LTD earningsThis company

    Genie Energy earns most of its revenue by reselling electricity and gas, and its report will show whether customer usage and rates can protect retail gross profit from supply costs.