Stock daily read

What happened with FLUX today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

FLUX in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Flux Power Holdings makes battery packs that power forklifts and other commercial equipment. Material handling is its largest market, with airport ground support equipment another application. It buys battery cells and builds them into packs with its own battery management system, which controls charging and discharging, monitors the cells and communicates with the forklift. It also sells compatible chargers.

Customers pay Flux for these products, primarily in North America. Equipment manufacturers, dealers and battery distributors buy its packs for equipment used by large-company fleets; fleet operators can also buy directly. Revenue is heavily concentrated in two customers, and purchases depend on customers’ equipment spending. Flux has no long-term customer contracts.

Flux does not make its battery cells: it relies on a single manufacturer in China and has no qualified alternative source. U.S. import tariffs affect cell costs, and switching to a new cell would require a new UL listing, which can delay products.

The business also depends on outside financing because it has not generated enough cash to sustain operations. GBC has continued allowing access to its credit facility after a borrowing-covenant breach, but can restrict that access or demand repayment.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in FLUX’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

FLUX says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Flux’s results hinge on large forklift customers’ capital spending and tariff-sensitive cells from a single Chinese supplier, while private rivals East Penn and Green Cubes Technology also compete for business.

  • Electrovaya competes with Flux for North American forklift fleets and airport ground-support operators buying lithium-ion battery systems. Watch its material-handling sales: that business accounted for more than 95% of Electrovaya’s sales over the three years covered in its filing.

  • EnerSys competes with Flux for customers buying batteries and chargers for electric forklifts and other industrial vehicles. Its Motive Power segment results are the relevant read for Flux, rather than its telecom, data-center or specialty-battery businesses.

  • Plug Power offers forklift and ground-support equipment operators hydrogen-powered fuel-cell systems instead of the lithium-ion batteries Flux sells. Watch deployments of its GenDrive systems in material handling for evidence of demand for this alternative to batteries.

Agenda

in 7 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. 8:30 AMET pre-market

    Durable Goods Orders MoM (Sep)

    Durable goods orders track demand for long-lasting equipment, which can affect how much Flux Power’s material-handling and airport ground-support customers invest in equipment that uses its battery packs and how much Flux sells.

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    EnerSys, Inc. earningsENS

    EnerSys’s report will show whether forklift and industrial-vehicle customers are buying more batteries and chargers in the Motive Power market where it competes with Flux Power.

in 20 daysMon, Nov 9

  1. Time to be announced

    Plug Power Inc. earningsPLUG

    Plug Power’s report will show whether forklift and ground-support operators are deploying more GenDrive hydrogen systems, an alternative to Flux Power’s lithium-ion batteries for those equipment orders.

in 23 daysThu, Nov 12

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Flux Power Holdings, Inc. earningsThis company

    Flux Power’s report will show whether material-handling and airport ground-support customers are ordering more battery packs, and whether tariffs and factory utilization are still squeezing the margin on each pack.

in 28 daysTue, Nov 17

  1. 9:15 AMET pre-market

    Industrial Production MoM (Oct)

    Industrial production and capacity use track how much factories, mines and utilities produce and how intensively they use their equipment, helping show whether Flux Power’s industrial customers may invest in equipment that uses its battery packs and buy more from Flux.

in 50 daysWed, Dec 9

  1. Time to be announced

    Electrovaya Inc. earningsELVA

    Electrovaya’s report will show whether North American forklift and ground-support buyers are purchasing more lithium-ion systems in the markets where it competes with Flux Power.