Stock daily read

What happened with FLOC today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

FLOC in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Flowco Holdings Inc. supplies oil and natural gas producers with equipment and services used during wells’ producing lives, rather than drilling or fracturing wells itself. Its larger business, Production Solutions, helps bring oil and gas to the surface. High-pressure gas lift injects pressurized natural gas into wells; other lift systems serve wells as their conditions change. Producers pay to rent or buy systems, then purchase replacement components and ongoing technical services. Equipment rentals provide most revenue, with sales also contributing substantially.

Its Natural Gas Technologies business captures methane and other hydrocarbon vapors and compresses them so customers can sell the recovered gas or reuse it in wells. Flowco generally supplies these vapor recovery units under contracts that can be renewed for long-term use, although customers can also buy them. The equipment also helps producers meet emissions requirements.

The business is primarily U.S.-based, and the Permian Basin supplies most revenue. Flowco serves many producers, but its largest customers account for a significant share of revenue. Demand depends on producers’ spending to sustain and improve production, which is sensitive to oil and natural gas prices. Environmental permits and health and safety rules govern both Flowco’s operations and those of its customers.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in FLOC’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

FLOC says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Weatherford competes with Flowco for oil and gas producers’ spending on equipment that lifts fluids out of wells and services that improve production—artificial lift and production optimization.

  • Forum Energy Technologies competes with Flowco to supply equipment that helps oil and gas producers lift fluids from wells and sustain production. Watch its Artificial Lift and Downhole business rather than its broader drilling business for the overlap with Flowco’s Production Solutions.

  • Archrock and Flowco both depend on demand for contracted compression: Archrock operates natural-gas compressors for customers, while Flowco uses compression to lift well production and recover hydrocarbon vapors. Flowco also acquired compression assets and customer agreements from Archrock, making Archrock’s Contract Operations business the relevant comparison.

  • Baker Hughes competes with Flowco for onshore oil and gas operators’ spending on equipment that lifts fluids from wells and supports production. Its artificial-lift offerings within Oilfield Services & Equipment are the closer comparison, not its broader industrial and energy technology business.

  • Halliburton competes with Flowco for oil and gas producers’ spending on products and services that lift fluids from wells and improve production. Its artificial-lift work sits in Completion and Production, the segment to watch for this overlap rather than Drilling and Evaluation.

  • NOV competes with Flowco to sell oil and gas operators equipment that lifts fluids from wells and supports production, but NOV’s equipment portfolio is much broader.

  • Permian Resources’ development and production activity offers a regional demand signal for Flowco’s equipment: it sells oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids from the Permian Basin, which generates most of Flowco’s revenue. Watch its activity in the Delaware Basin in West Texas and New Mexico for signs of producers’ equipment needs.

  • Devon Energy’s investment in the Delaware Basin signals demand in Flowco’s principal revenue region; Devon sells oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids, while Flowco sells equipment and services that help producers maintain output. Watch spending on Devon’s Delaware program, its largest and most active development asset, for the regional production investment that supports Flowco.

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  • Cactus supplies oil and gas operators with wellheads and production trees for onshore unconventional wells whose output later supports Flowco’s lift-equipment deployments. Watch Cactus’s Pressure Control product sales: new wells drive demand for that equipment, while Flowco serves wells from first production into late life.

Agenda

tomorrowTue, Oct 20

  1. Time to be announced

    Weatherford International plc earningsWFRD

    Weatherford competes with Flowco’s Production Solutions for producers’ artificial-lift and production-optimization spending, so its report will show how that shared market is holding up.

in 2 daysWed, Oct 21

  1. 10:30 AMET

    EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Oct/16)

    Weekly US crude oil and gasoline stocks show how much crude and fuel is held in storage, which can shift oil prices and, through producers’ spending on Flowco’s well-production systems and services, its demand.

in 8 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced

    Archrock Inc earningsAROC

    Archrock operates natural-gas compressors for customers, and its Contract Operations business connects to Flowco’s compression equipment and customer agreements; its report will show whether demand for these services is holding up.

in 9 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    Flowco’s one-month Term SOFR–linked borrowing rate means Federal Reserve rate decisions can change what the company pays in interest on its debt.

in 16 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Flowco Holdings Inc. earningsThis company

    Flowco rents and sells artificial-lift and natural-gas equipment to producers, and this report will show whether recurring rentals and services are supporting the business alongside equipment sales.

  2. Time to be announced

    Permian Resources Corporation earningsPR

    Permian Resources’ Delaware Basin activity offers a demand signal for the Permian, which generates most of Flowco’s revenue; its report will show whether activity in that region is continuing.