Stock daily read

What happened with FGBI today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

FGBI in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

First Guaranty Bancshares owns First Guaranty Bank, a Louisiana-chartered bank serving businesses, individuals and government entities, primarily in Louisiana and Texas. The bank uses deposits to lend to customers and invest in securities. Borrowers and securities investments provide interest income; after interest paid on deposits and borrowings, this is its largest revenue source. Account and payment-service fees contribute much less.

Most loans are secured by real estate. Commercial properties form the largest lending category, with hotels the largest concentration within it; residential mortgages are another important category. The business therefore depends heavily on borrowers’ ability to repay and on property conditions in its lending markets.

Most deposits are concentrated in the Hammond, Louisiana area. Local-government funds and deposits obtained through brokers are substantial funding sources, so retaining deposits and controlling their cost matter to earnings and lending capacity. Government deposits require collateral or qualifying deposit-insurance arrangements. Regulatory capital requirements limit the bank’s ability to pay dividends to its parent, and regulators may require more capital or restrict commercial-property lending because of its concentration.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in FGBI’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

FGBI says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

First Guaranty's results hinge on Louisiana borrowers' ability to repay, especially commercial property and hotel loans, and on the cost of its substantial public-funds and brokered deposits.

  • Home Federal Bancorp, Inc. of Louisiana competes with First Guaranty for deposits and borrowers in Louisiana's Shreveport-Bossier City area; both use deposits to fund loans and earn income from borrowers. Watch Home Federal's deposit rates and loan pricing for signs of local pressure on First Guaranty's funding costs and lending terms.

  • Fifth District Bancorp, Inc. gathers deposits and lends around New Orleans, exposing it to the same southeast Louisiana economy that supports First Guaranty's core deposit and lending business. Its loan demand and deposit funding costs offer a regional comparison, while weaker property values could undermine the real estate backing a significant portion of First Guaranty's loans.

Agenda

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    For First Guaranty, the Fed’s policy rate—the rate that guides borrowing costs across the economy—can change interest earned on its loans and securities and interest paid on deposits and borrowings, shaping net interest income, the amount left after those interest costs.

in 27 daysMon, Nov 16

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    FIRST GUARANTY BANCSHARES INC earningsThis company

    First Guaranty Bancshares' report will show whether interest earned on loans and securities, after deposit and borrowing costs, can steady its core income as credit losses weigh on profit.