Stock daily read

What happened with EMA today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

EMA in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Emera Incorporated earns most of its revenue from electricity utilities, with regulated natural-gas service providing the next-largest source. Florida is its largest operating region. Tampa Electric generates electricity and delivers it through its transmission and distribution networks in west-central Florida, while Peoples Gas System buys natural gas and delivers it to Florida customers. Nova Scotia Power supplies most of Nova Scotia’s electricity; Emera also operates utilities elsewhere in Atlantic Canada, New Mexico and the Caribbean.

Households and businesses pay utility bills at rates approved by regulators. Those rates are designed to cover service costs and provide a permitted return on invested capital, rather than letting Emera freely set prices. Gas purchased for bundled service is passed through to customers at cost, so that business earns from providing utility service rather than marking up the gas itself. Earnings depend on how much infrastructure regulators accept for recovery through rates, the returns they allow, customer usage and operating expenses. Regulatory review also determines whether, and when, fuel and other costs can be recovered from customers.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in EMA’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

EMA says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Fortis Inc. offers a comparison for Emera’s utility investment and foreign earnings: both serve utility customers across Canada, the United States and the Caribbean under predominantly regulated businesses. Watch Fortis’s foreign revenue and its translation into Canadian dollars when comparing Emera’s earnings.

  • NextEra Energy’s FPL and Emera’s Tampa Electric both generate and deliver electricity to Florida customers at regulated rates, so the state’s growth, weather and rate decisions matter to both. FPL’s customer demand and storm-related service costs provide a useful comparison for Tampa Electric.

  • Duke Energy’s Florida and southeastern utilities share regional growth, weather and regulated investment drivers with Emera’s Tampa Electric. Both generate and deliver electricity to customers at regulator-approved rates, making Duke’s regional electricity business a comparison for Emera’s Florida operations.

  • Southern Company and Emera share exposure to southeastern electricity demand and regulated infrastructure investment: both own utilities that generate and deliver electricity to paying customers, alongside gas distribution businesses. Southern’s electricity sales to customers in Alabama, Georgia and Mississippi offer a regional demand comparison for Emera’s Florida electricity business.

  • Entergy and Emera both generate and deliver electricity to customers through regulated utilities in hurricane-exposed southern markets. Entergy’s electricity demand and infrastructure spending offer a comparison for the same forces shaping Emera’s Tampa Electric results.

  • CenterPoint Energy and Emera both depend on investing in electricity and gas networks and recovering service costs through customer charges. CenterPoint delivers electricity and sells or transports gas; watch its network investment and approved cost recovery as a comparison for Emera’s utility earnings.

  • American Electric Power and Emera both earn returns on regulated power plants and delivery networks through customer rates designed to cover costs. AEP sells electricity to retail and wholesale customers and charges for delivery; its regulated generation and delivery revenue provides a comparison for Emera’s electricity earnings.

  • Chesapeake Utilities is a customer of Emera as well as a Florida infrastructure comparison: its FPU business uses Emera’s Peoples Gas network to deliver gas, while FPU and Eight Flags buy services from Emera Energy Services to manage energy assets. Watch Chesapeake’s Florida gas demand and network expansion; its asset-management agreements run through November 2030.

Agenda

tomorrowWed, Oct 21

  1. Time to be announced

    NextEra Energy, Inc. earningsNEE

    NextEra Energy’s report will show how Florida electricity demand and storm-service costs are moving, offering a same-state comparison for Emera’s Tampa Electric.

in 7 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced

    CenterPoint Energy, Inc. earningsCNP

    CenterPoint Energy’s report will show whether electricity and gas network investment is being recovered through customer charges, a comparison for Emera’s utility businesses.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    For Emera, the Fed’s decision on the U.S. policy interest rate matters because higher rates can raise the cost of new and repricing debt used to fund its large utility investment program, while lower rates can ease that cost.

in 14 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. Time to be announced

    Fortis Inc. earningsFTS

    Fortis’s report will show how translating foreign utility revenue into Canadian dollars affects results, a comparison for Emera’s overseas earnings.

in 16 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced

    Chesapeake Utilities earningsCPK

    Chesapeake Utilities’ report will show how its Florida gas demand and network expansion are changing; its FPU business uses Emera’s Peoples Gas network to deliver gas.

in 17 daysFri, Nov 6

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Emera Incorporated earningsThis company

    Emera’s report will show whether Tampa Electric’s customer charges and storm-cost recovery continue to support earnings at its largest operation.