Stock daily read

What happened with ELOX today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

ELOX in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
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Company

Company overview

Eloxx Pharmaceuticals is a clinical-stage biotechnology company whose main candidate, exaluren, targets rare kidney diseases. Its drug candidates are designed to help cells continue making proteins when a genetic mutation would otherwise stop production prematurely. None of its products is approved for sale.

Its licensing income has come entirely from Almirall, which holds exclusive global rights to develop and commercialize ZKN-013 for rare skin diseases. Eloxx has received upfront and development milestone payments. Its research-service responsibilities have ended, so further payments depend on Almirall reaching development, approval or commercial milestones; royalties would depend on future product sales. Almirall controls the program, and Eloxx has little influence over its progress. Almirall can also terminate the agreement for convenience.

Eloxx needs more financing to advance exaluren and says it lacks adequate funds for its planned clinical trials. It cannot market its candidates without regulatory approval. Israeli grant rules also require prior approval for certain transfers of grant-supported know-how or manufacturing outside Israel, limiting its freedom to move or sell those activities.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in ELOX’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

ELOX says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
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  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Eloxx’s results hinge on exaluren’s development for rare kidney diseases and Almirall’s progress with ZKN-013, which determines potential milestone payments and sales royalties.

  • Krystal Biotech, Inc. already earns revenue selling VYJUVEK for dystrophic epidermolysis bullosa, including a recessive patient population that overlaps with Eloxx’s ZKN-013, whose potential payments come from licensee Almirall. Watch VYJUVEK sales and European pricing negotiations for a view of the market ZKN-013 would enter.

  • INmune Bio Inc. is developing CORDStrom for recessive dystrophic epidermolysis bullosa, overlapping the patients with nonsense mutations targeted by Eloxx’s Almirall-licensed ZKN-013. Progress with this umbilical-cord-derived cell treatment is worth watching as another treatment in development for patients Eloxx hopes to reach through Almirall, which would pay Eloxx potential milestones and sales royalties.

Agenda

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced

    INmune Bio Inc. earningsINMB

    INmune Bio’s report may show whether CORDStrom is advancing for some of the same recessive dystrophic epidermolysis bullosa patients targeted by Almirall-licensed ZKN-013.

in 13 daysMon, Nov 2

  1. Time to be announced

    Krystal Biotech, Inc. earningsKRYS

    Krystal Biotech’s report will show VYJUVEK sales, offering a commercial-demand signal for the partly overlapping patient market Almirall-licensed ZKN-013 aims to serve.

in 21 daysTue, Nov 10

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Eloxx Pharmaceuticals, Inc. earningsThis company

    Eloxx Pharmaceuticals’ report will show whether its cash use and available funding can support further development of exaluren.