Stock daily read

What happened with ECL today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

ECL in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Factories need to keep process water and production equipment working properly; restaurants, hotels and hospitals need to keep dishes, linens and facilities clean. Ecolab supplies the chemicals, dispensing equipment and technical support for those tasks. Water treatment and industrial cleaning form its largest business, followed by cleaning and sanitizing for foodservice and other commercial facilities; together they account for most revenue.

Most customers pay for products and equipment rather than services alone. Ecolab’s field-sales staff also advise customers on their use, and distributors supply some markets. Its 3D TRASAR water-treatment technology combines chemicals with remote monitoring and control. Restaurant and food-retail programs use Ecolab and Kay cleaning products, while some customers lease dishwashing machines bundled with chemicals and maintenance. Smaller businesses provide pest-control services and cleaning and contamination control for pharmaceutical and personal-care manufacturers.

Ecolab is not materially dependent on any single customer overall, but its Specialty business relies heavily on a limited group of major restaurant chains, franchisees and food retailers. Demand depends on customers’ operating activity and their need to treat water and maintain hygiene. Rules governing chemical manufacturing, product registration, sale and use also shape what it can supply.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in ECL’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

ECL says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

These peers cover only part of Ecolab, whose results depend chiefly on industrial water-treatment demand and cleaning consumption in foodservice, hospitality and food processing.

  • Clorox competes with Ecolab for professional customers buying cleaning, sanitation and infection-prevention products, rather than across Ecolab’s whole business. Watch CloroxPro and Clorox Healthcare news for competition facing Ecolab’s institutional cleaning products.

  • STERIS competes with Ecolab in cleaning, infection prevention and contamination control, selling products, equipment and services to healthcare and drug manufacturers. Its pharmaceutical contamination-control offerings are the part to watch for competition facing Ecolab’s Life Sciences business.

  • Rollins competes with Ecolab for pest-control contracts from foodservice, healthcare and other workplaces, inspecting properties, treating infestations and preventing pests. Its commercial-account wins matter more to this comparison than its residential pest and termite business.

  • Danaher competes with Ecolab in materials sold to biopharmaceutical manufacturers to purify their products: Cytiva purification resins rival Ecolab’s Purolite resins.

Agenda

in 2 daysWed, Oct 21

  1. Time to be announced

    Danaher Corporation earningsDHR

    Danaher’s report can offer a read on biopharma customers’ demand for purification products, where its Cytiva resins compete with Ecolab’s Purolite resins.

  2. Time to be announced

    Rollins, Inc. earningsROL

    Rollins’s report can show whether commercial customers are spending on pest-control services, which it and Ecolab both provide to workplaces such as restaurants and healthcare facilities.

in 8 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Ecolab, Inc. earningsThis company

    Ecolab’s report will show whether sales volume and pricing are both supporting growth, and whether that growth is widening its operating margin.

in 9 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    The Fed’s decision tracks the U.S. economy’s benchmark borrowing rate; changes can raise or lower Ecolab’s interest costs on floating-rate debt and new borrowing.

in 16 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    STERIS plc earningsSTE

    STERIS’s report can show pharmaceutical manufacturers’ demand for contamination-control products and services in an area where it competes with Ecolab’s Life Sciences business.