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What happened with EAF today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

EAF in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

GrafTech International Ltd. supplies ultra-high-power graphite electrodes that carry electricity into furnaces to melt scrap and other steelmaking inputs. These electrodes are consumed during use, so steel producers need replacements. Electrode sales generate most of GrafTech’s revenue, and electric arc furnace steelmakers buy nearly all of its electrodes. It serves customers worldwide; one buyer contributes a meaningful share of sales.

Most of its former long-term agreements requiring customers to take or pay for supply have expired. The business now relies mainly on shorter-term purchase agreements and spot orders. Prices negotiated before delivery can take time to flow into sales. Demand and pricing depend on steelmakers’ activity and the supply of competing electrodes; industry oversupply puts pressure on prices.

GrafTech also produces petroleum needle coke, a key electrode raw material. Its Seadrift facility in Texas supplies most of its own needs, making that plant an important link in electrode production. The company uses most of the needle coke it makes internally and also sells needle coke products.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in EAF’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

EAF says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

GrafTech’s results hinge on global steel production in electric arc furnaces and the prices of the electrodes those furnaces use, with competition from Resonac, HEG, Graphite India and Tokai Carbon.

Agenda

in 3 daysFri, Oct 23

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    GrafTech International Ltd. earningsThis company

    GrafTech’s report will show whether it can sell graphite electrodes to steelmakers at prices that better cover the cost of making them.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    Fed rate decisions matter to GrafTech because they can change what the company pays to borrow on debt that resets with interest rates, leaving more or less cash for operations.

in 28 daysTue, Nov 17

  1. 9:15 AMET pre-market

    Industrial Production MoM (Oct)

    Industrial production and capacity use track how much factories, mines and utilities produce and how fully they use their capacity; for GrafTech, stronger activity can support EAF steelmaking and demand for the electrodes it sells to steel producers, affecting sales volume and prices.