Stock daily read

What happened with DRVN today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

DRVN in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Driven Brands serves vehicle owners and commercial customers across the United States and Canada. Take 5 Oil supplies most of its revenue, mainly through company-operated shops where drivers and fleet operators pay for oil changes and related maintenance. Auto Glass Now adds a company-operated business that repairs and replaces vehicle glass and provides calibration services, serving retail, commercial and insurance customers.

Most locations across the wider network are franchisee-owned. Operators of brands such as Meineke, Maaco and CARSTAR pay initial license fees and ongoing royalties generally tied to their sales in exchange for using the brands and operating systems. Driven Brands also earns revenue by supplying products to franchisees and other customers. Its franchise income therefore depends on franchisees running successful shops and making their payments.

Insurance companies provide a significant share of profits at collision brands including CARSTAR and Fix Auto, and at Auto Glass Now. These businesses depend on insurer relationships and meeting insurers’ service requirements to retain work. Manufacturer or regulatory restrictions on diagnostic tools and repair information can also limit which customers the shops can serve.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in DRVN’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

DRVN says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Valvoline competes directly with Driven Brands Holdings Inc.’s Take 5 Oil for retail drivers and commercial fleets across North America, charging for quick oil changes and other maintenance through company-run and franchised centers. Watch Valvoline’s oil-change business for signs of competition in Take 5, Driven Brands’ largest revenue segment.

  • Monro competes with Driven Brands Holdings Inc.’s Meineke and Take 5 for passenger-vehicle service spending in the U.S., selling tires, repairs and routine maintenance. Its routine-maintenance business is the clearest area to watch for competition with Take 5’s oil changes and related services.

  • Boyd Group Services Inc. competes with Driven Brands Holdings Inc.’s collision franchises and Auto Glass Now for vehicle owners and insurance-paid collision and glass repairs. Watch Boyd’s relationships with insurers that direct repair work to participating shops: insurers are concentrating repair volumes among fewer operators, making those relationships important to the competition for insurance-funded work.

  • Dorman Products, Inc. New and Driven Brands Holdings Inc. both depend on spending to keep existing vehicles running rather than replace them: Dorman sells replacement parts, while Driven Brands charges for maintenance and repairs. Dorman’s replacement-parts sales offer a related view of that demand, rather than a direct measure of Take 5’s oil-change business.

Agenda

in 14 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Driven Brands Holdings Inc. earningsThis company

    Driven Brands gets its largest share of revenue from Take 5, and this report will show whether sales at its oil-change shops are outpacing the costs of running them.

in 22 daysWed, Nov 11

  1. Time to be announced

    Boyd Group Services Inc. earningsBGSI

    Boyd Group Services’ report will show how insurer-directed collision work is changing, a key measure of competition for insurance-paid repairs at Driven Brands’ collision franchises.

in 29 daysWed, Nov 18

  1. Time to be announced

    Valvoline Inc. earningsVVV

    Valvoline competes directly with Driven Brands’ largest revenue business, Take 5, for drivers’ and fleets’ oil-change spending, and its oil-change sales will show how that market is moving.