Stock daily read

What happened with DFIN today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

DFIN in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Donnelley Financial Solutions, Inc. serves businesses that must report to regulators and investors or prepare documents for financing and acquisitions. Public and private companies provide most of its revenue; mutual funds and other regulated investment firms provide the other main source. Clients pay for software subscriptions and help preparing, filing and distributing documents. Software and technology-enabled services generate most of its sales, with printing and distribution a smaller business.

ActiveDisclosure helps corporate clients collaborate on disclosures and submit filings to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Venue lets deal participants share confidential documents for due diligence. Arc Suite helps investment firms assemble regulatory reports and deliver them to regulators and investors. Clients can use the software themselves or buy additional document preparation, filing and investor-communications services.

Demand for Venue and transaction support depends heavily on companies pursuing offerings, acquisitions and other deals. Ongoing regulatory reporting and fund communications are less sensitive to swings in deal activity. Reporting rules also shape what clients need: changes can increase disclosure work or allow electronic delivery instead of paper. Clients are increasingly choosing software and related services over physical printing.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in DFIN’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

DFIN says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

These Hong Kong financial printers show only part of Donnelley Financial Solutions’ exposure: its results depend chiefly on U.S. capital-markets activity, recurring corporate and fund disclosures, and the shift from print to software.

  • Powell Max Limited shares DFIN’s exposure to deal activity and recurring disclosures: companies and their advisers pay it to prepare and distribute documents for Hong Kong IPOs, M&A and regulatory reporting, while DFIN provides document services and software predominantly in U.S. markets. Watch Powell Max’s IPO and M&A work for the transaction-sensitive side of this business, rather than as a direct gauge of U.S. demand.

  • Rich Sparkle Holdings Limited reflects the same mix of listing work and recurring disclosure needs that DFIN serves primarily for U.S. issuers: Hong Kong-listed companies and listing applicants pay Rich Sparkle to prepare prospectuses and produce and distribute financial communications. Its work on listed-company reports, announcements and proxy forms offers a view of disclosure demand beyond new listings, though in a different market from DFIN’s.

Agenda

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    Donnelley Financial Solutions’ Fed rate decision matters because it signals borrowing costs that can affect clients’ capital-markets deal activity and demand for DFIN’s deal-related services, as well as the interest it pays on debt.

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Donnelley Financial Solutions, Inc. earningsThis company

    Donnelley Financial Solutions’ report will show whether subscription software revenue can make up for declines in transaction and compliance services and print and distribution, while supporting operating income.