Stock daily read

What happened with DARE today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

DARE in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Dare Bioscience focuses on women’s health, developing treatments and bringing products to market through other companies rather than its own manufacturing facilities or sales force. Much of its portfolio remains in development and needs regulatory approval before sale.

Its early commercial push includes DARE to PLAY, a prescription sildenafil cream for women’s sexual health. Patients obtain a prescription and pay out of pocket, without insurance reimbursement. Bravado makes the cream, while Medvantx dispenses it, collects patient payments and sends Dare its share after pharmacy fees; Dare also owes third-party royalties. Initial dispensing and sales were still planned, with manufacturing-process validation unfinished. DARE to PLAY is a compounded drug, not an FDA-approved medicine. Its supply depends on state licenses and on sildenafil citrate remaining eligible for use by the outsourcing facilities that compound it.

XACIATO, a prescription vaginal gel for bacterial vaginosis, is Dare’s only FDA-approved product. Organon holds exclusive worldwide rights and controls manufacturing and commercialization. Dare sold its rights to sales-based royalties and potential milestone payments, net of certain third-party obligations, to XOMA. Those payments go to XOMA until it reaches an agreed investment return; only afterward does Dare share in them. XACIATO therefore does not currently provide Dare with a sales-based income stream, and future income depends on Organon’s sales and the payment threshold being reached.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in DARE’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

DARE says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

Daré’s results hinge on launching women’s-health products that patients pay for themselves and advancing its pipeline, while Organon controls XACIATO commercialization and XOMA holds much of the associated royalty economics.

Agenda

in 23 daysThu, Nov 12

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Dare Bioscience, Inc. earningsThis company

    Dare Bioscience’s report will show whether sales of DARE to PLAY and DARE to RESTORE are beginning to offset the cash the company spends.