Stock daily read

What happened with DAIO today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

DAIO in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Electronics manufacturers use Data I/O’s equipment to write data into memory and other programmable chips and protect intellectual property during production. Its customers include device makers, contract manufacturers and specialist programming centers. Its SentriX equipment deploys hardware-based security into chips.

Customers buy programming systems, then purchase consumable adapters, software, maintenance and services as they use the equipment and introduce new products. These follow-on purchases together generate more revenue than equipment sales. Equipment demand depends on customers adding production capacity, improving processes or adopting new technology; follow-on sales depend on how much customers use their systems and the capabilities they need.

Automotive electronics is its largest end market, so automakers’ and suppliers’ production-investment decisions strongly affect demand. A small group of large customers accounts for a substantial share of sales. Data I/O also needs timely access to semiconductor makers’ technical information and support to keep its systems compatible with new chips.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in DAIO’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

DAIO says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Data I/O’s results hinge chiefly on automotive-electronics manufacturers’ capacity spending and production utilization, rather than competition with these adjacent businesses.

  • inTEST Corporation shares Data I/O’s exposure to electronics manufacturers’ capacity spending: it sells electronic test systems and programming services to the equipment makers and contract manufacturers that also buy Data I/O’s chip-programming equipment and services. Watch its Electronic Test business for demand from automotive-electronics customers.

  • Cohu Inc’s sales to automotive and industrial semiconductor customers follow the production cycles that also drive Data I/O’s chip-programming platforms and adapters. Watch demand for Cohu’s chip-testing systems and replacement connections between chips and test equipment—its recurring interface sales—for clues to equipment spending and production utilization.

  • Aehr Test Systems and Data I/O both depend on automakers’ and semiconductor customers’ electric-vehicle production and capacity plans: Aehr sells systems and services that test silicon-carbide chips under stress, known as burn-in, while Data I/O sells automotive chip-programming equipment and services. Watch demand for Aehr’s silicon-carbide burn-in business as a signal of those electric-vehicle plans.

Agenda

in 2 daysThu, Oct 22

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Data I/O Corp earningsThis company

    Data I/O’s report will show whether customers are buying more chip-programming platforms and whether adapters and software services are supporting revenue.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced

    Cohu Inc earningsCOHU

    Cohu Inc’s report will show whether chipmakers are buying test systems and using production lines more intensively, offering clues to demand for Data I/O’s platforms and adapters.

in 28 daysTue, Nov 17

  1. 9:15 AMET pre-market

    Industrial Production MoM (Oct)

    Industrial production tracks how much factories, mines and utilities produce, which matters to Data I/O because customers’ capacity plans can drive sales of its programming platforms and factory utilization can drive demand for its adapters.