Stock daily read

What happened with CXW today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

CXW in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

CoreCivic, Inc. supplies government agencies with prison and detention capacity and the staff and services to run those facilities. CoreCivic Safety brings in most of its revenue, operating facilities the company owns or leases as well as facilities owned by others. Agencies generally pay a daily rate based on actual occupancy or a guaranteed minimum. Its smaller CoreCivic Community business provides housing and programs to help people return to society after incarceration, while CoreCivic Properties earns rent from facilities leased to government agencies.

Federal agencies supply most of the revenue, with U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) and the U.S. Marshals Service the largest customers. State governments are another substantial source. Revenue depends on agencies using its beds, the rates they agree to pay and continued government funding. Most facility contracts let agencies terminate without cause and depend on legislative appropriations.

Legal limits also affect where CoreCivic can house detainees. Several states restrict state and local agencies from contracting to hold people in ICE custody, although courts have struck down some restrictions on direct ICE contracts. A temporary injunction currently bars detainee intake at its Midwest Regional Reception Center while a special-use permit dispute remains unresolved; payments under that ICE contract begin only once the injunction is no longer enforceable.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in CXW’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

CXW says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

CoreCivic’s results hinge on government detention funding, especially ICE policy and bed utilization, while privately held Management and Training Corporation is another competitor to watch.

  • The GEO Group, Inc. competes with CoreCivic for government contracts to run prisons and detention facilities, help people reenter the community, monitor them electronically and provide secure transportation. Watch GEO’s government contract wins and renewals: competition for these customers can reduce CoreCivic’s occupied beds and facility revenue.

Agenda

in 2 daysThu, Oct 22

  1. 8:30 AMET pre-market

    Initial Jobless Claims (Oct/17)

    Weekly jobless claims count new applications for unemployment benefits; for CoreCivic, a tighter labor market can intensify competition for staff and raise costs in its labor-intensive operations, while many facility contracts allow only fixed fees or modest increases.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    Interest rates affect what CoreCivic pays on its variable-rate loans, changing cash left for its government-run facilities, reentry services and other operations.

in 14 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. 10:00 AMET

    JOLTs Job Openings (Sep)

    Job openings track employers’ demand for workers; for CoreCivic, tighter hiring competition can raise staffing costs at its labor-intensive correctional, detention and reentry operations, while many contracts allow only fixed fees or modest increases.

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    CoreCivic, Inc. earningsThis company

    CoreCivic is paid largely for compensated days in its facilities, and this report will show whether revenue per paid day is still rising faster than the cost of serving it.

in 16 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced

    The GEO Group, Inc. earningsGEO

    The GEO Group competes with CoreCivic for government prison and detention contracts, and its report will show whether shared government buyers are awarding and renewing work with GEO.

in 17 daysFri, Nov 6

  1. 8:30 AMET pre-market

    Non Farm Payrolls (Oct)

    The monthly jobs report tracks employment and wage growth; for CoreCivic, stronger hiring can intensify competition for staff and raise costs in its labor-intensive correctional, detention and reentry operations, while many contracts allow only fixed fees or modest increases.