Stock daily read

What happened with CRT today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

CRT in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Cross Timbers Royalty Trust receives income from oil and gas properties in Texas, Oklahoma and New Mexico rather than operating wells itself. Buyers pay for the oil and gas produced from those properties. XTO Energy calculates the Trust’s share of the remaining proceeds each month after deducting specified costs and remits the income to the Trust. The Trust pays administration expenses before making monthly distributions to unitholders.

The deductions differ across its interests. Some bear taxes, transportation, marketing and other charges; those tied to working interests also bear operating and development costs. If costs exceed sales proceeds for an interest, the Trust receives no income from it until future proceeds cover the shortfall and accrued interest. That shortfall does not reduce income from its other interests.

Income depends on oil and gas prices, production and deductible costs. XTO Energy does not operate most of the underlying properties, and neither the trustee nor unitholders can direct operations or replace operators. The assets deplete as oil and gas are extracted; proceeds end when production is no longer commercially viable.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in CRT’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

CRT says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • ExxonMobil connects directly to Cross Timbers Royalty Trust’s income through its subsidiary XTO Energy, which operates underlying oil and gas properties and calculates the Trust’s payments from sales proceeds after costs. That operating role makes the oil and gas producer and seller more relevant than shared exposure to oil and gas prices alone.

  • Range Resources’ sales of natural gas produced in Pennsylvania’s Marcellus Shale and Cross Timbers Royalty Trust’s share of gas profits both depend materially on North American gas prices. Watch Range’s gas selling prices for context on the Trust’s gas income, but not as a direct match: regional prices and operating costs differ.

  • Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation and Cross Timbers Royalty Trust both face oil and gas price and production-cost pressures: Magnolia produces and sells oil and gas in South Texas, while the Trust receives profits after costs from properties partly in Texas. Magnolia’s oil and gas selling prices and production costs are worth watching alongside the Trust’s income, which also falls when costs absorb more of production sales.

Agenda

in 9 daysFri, Oct 30

  1. Time to be announced

    ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation earningsXOM

    ExxonMobil’s report can show whether its XTO Energy subsidiary’s operated oil and gas properties are generating sales proceeds after costs that flow into Cross Timbers Royalty Trust’s net profits income.