Stock daily read

What happened with CPSH today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

CPSH in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

CPS Technologies supplies parts that help manage heat and protect electronics in customers’ equipment. Its main material combines aluminum with silicon carbide, a ceramic, to form a metal matrix composite called AlSiC. It adjusts the material and component design to customer requirements, making products such as baseplates and sealed electronic housings. Equipment manufacturers pay CPS for these parts and incorporate them into systems they sell.

Commercial applications generate most revenue. CPS also supplies aerospace and defense electronics and sells HybridTech Armor® panels engineered for customers’ protection requirements. These are custom products rather than catalog items: CPS works with customers’ engineers to get components designed into their systems, which can lead to production orders over multiple years.

The business depends heavily on a small group of customers: the three largest supply most revenue, with the largest alone contributing a substantial share. New products can spend years in customer evaluation before reaching production, so sales depend on both orders for existing designs and new designs moving into production. Some finishing work also depends on customer-approved outside vendors; in some cases, only one vendor is approved.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in CPSH’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

CPSH says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

CPS depends on production orders from a concentrated group of microelectronics customers and on winning custom-component designs, with Egide and Qnnect also competing in hermetic packaging.

  • AMETEK competes with CPS to supply packaging that seals and protects high-reliability electronics, for which CPS sells housings and heat spreaders to microelectronics systems companies. Watch AMETEK’s hermetic-packaging business rather than its overall sales: it is only one part of a broader instrument and electromechanical-device maker serving aerospace, medical and industrial customers.

Agenda

in 14 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. Time to be announced

    Ametek, Inc. earningsAME

    AMETEK competes with CPS Technologies in sealed packaging for high-reliability electronics, and its hermetic-packaging results can show how demand and competition are faring in that shared market.

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    CPS Technologies Corp. earningsThis company

    CPS Technologies sells custom electronics and defense components to a small number of large customers, and this report will show whether sales volume spreads its fixed engineering and production costs enough to support gross profit.