Stock daily read

What happened with COOT today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

COOT in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited buys oilseeds from growers and presses them at its Cootamundra facility in Australia without chemicals or solvents. It sells non-GMO edible oils under the Good Earth Oils trademark through marketers and distributors serving Australian retail and export markets. Its supermarket customers include Costco, Woolworths and Coles.

Retail and wholesale oil sales generate most of the revenue. Pressing also produces protein-rich meal, which the company sells mainly for use in livestock feed. This gives it a second saleable product from the same seeds. The company has historically relied on a small group of customers for a substantial share of revenue.

Production depends on timely seed deliveries from a concentrated supplier base, including an exclusive canola-seed supply agreement with Good Earth Growers. Margins depend on seed costs and the selling prices of its products. The company must maintain the Australian licenses and certificates required to manufacture edible oils, and continued operations depend on sufficient operating cash and access to financing.

Read allShow less
Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in COOT’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

COOT says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Australian Oilseeds’ results hinge on Australian oilseed supply and retail-oil sales through customers including Woolworths and Coles, whose supply contracts helped drive its retail growth.

  • Bunge and Australian Oilseeds both turn oilseeds into vegetable oils and protein meals for food and animal-feed buyers, exposing them to the same seed costs and demand. Watch Bunge’s oilseed-processing margins for signs of pressure on the profitability of making those products.

  • Archer Daniels Midland and Australian Oilseeds compete in oilseed-derived protein meals sold to animal-feed buyers, while both process crops into food and feed products. ADM’s soybean-meal revenue is a concrete line to watch for conditions in the feed market that also buys Australian Oilseeds’ protein meals.

Agenda

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced

    Bunge Global SA earningsBG

    Bunge’s report will show whether revenue from processed oilseeds is keeping pace with seed and processing costs, offering a read on cost and pricing pressure for Australian Oilseeds’ oils and protein meals.

in 14 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. Time to be announced

    Archer Daniels Midland Company earningsADM

    ADM’s report will show what its soybean-meal revenue says about feed buyers’ demand for protein meal, a market Australian Oilseeds also serves with high-protein meals.