Stock daily read

What happened with COLD today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

COLD in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Americold Realty Trust, Inc. provides refrigerated and frozen storage for food producers, distributors and retailers, including online sellers. It owns most of its warehouses and helps customers move food from production through distribution to stores and consumers. Customers pay for storage space and for work such as placing goods in storage, picking cases for orders and rapidly freezing products. Together, storage and handling generate most revenue, with handling services bringing in more revenue than rent and storage. Transportation and managing warehouses owned by other businesses are smaller activities.

Revenue depends on how much inventory customers store and how much product moves through the warehouses. Many contracts are short-term or month-to-month without guaranteed payments, while some customers commit to paying for reserved space. A group of large, long-standing customers supplies a substantial share of warehouse revenue, and some specialized facilities serve only a few customers.

Americold operates as a real estate investment trust, or REIT. To retain that tax status, it must distribute most of its taxable income and meet rules governing its income sources and assets. These requirements limit the cash it can retain for investment and can restrict which activities and investments it pursues.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in COLD’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

COLD says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Americold’s results depend on frozen and perishable food production, customer inventories and competition for refrigerated warehouse occupancy—not general REIT demand—with Lineage a rival to watch.

  • Lineage competes with Americold for food producers’ and distributors’ spending on storing and handling frozen and perishable food and transporting it under temperature control. Watch Lineage’s warehousing revenue and news on warehouse locations and transport capabilities: customers’ transport costs typically exceed storage costs, so those capabilities matter in winning their business.

Agenda

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    Fed rate decisions matter to Americold because higher rates can raise interest costs on debt that resets and on future borrowing, leaving less cash for warehouse operations and distributions.

in 14 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. 10:00 AMET

    JOLTs Job Openings (Sep)

    Job openings track employers’ demand for workers; for Americold, that demand can affect the wages and staffing needed to run its temperature-controlled warehouses and provide storage and handling services.

in 16 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Americold Realty Trust, Inc. earningsThis company

    Americold earns from cold-storage rent and handling, and its report will show whether warehouse revenue is holding up against the costs of running its facilities.

in 17 daysFri, Nov 6

  1. 8:30 AMET pre-market

    Non Farm Payrolls (Oct)

    The monthly jobs report counts jobs added or lost; for Americold, stronger hiring can tighten the labor market and raise the wage costs or staffing difficulty involved in running its temperature-controlled warehouses and handling services.

in 20 daysMon, Nov 9

  1. Time to be announced

    Lineage, Inc. earningsLINE

    Lineage and Americold compete for food producers’ and distributors’ cold-storage, handling and transport business, so Lineage’s report will show how customers are responding to that combined offer.