Stock daily read

What happened with CATO today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

CATO in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Cato serves shoppers looking for current styles at low everyday prices. Its Cato stores focus on women’s apparel, including plus sizes, while It’s Fashion offers styles for the family and Versona sells apparel and accessories, including the more upscale Cache brand. Stores are concentrated in the southeastern United States and generate nearly all sales; websites provide a smaller sales channel.

A substantial share of the merchandise carries Cato’s own labels and is made by outside suppliers to its specifications. The company relies on third-party manufacturers, mainly overseas, rather than owning factories. It orders clothing before the selling season, so matching purchases to shoppers’ tastes matters: unwanted stock requires markdowns, while shortages mean missed sales. Keeping sourcing costs under control also matters because its price-conscious customers limit how much it can raise retail prices.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in CATO’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

CATO says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

CATO CORP’s results depend more directly on value-conscious shoppers’ demand for women’s fashion and imported merchandise costs, including tariffs, than on Walmart’s overall results.

  • Walmart competes with CATO CORP’s low-priced fashion stores for value-conscious shoppers’ apparel spending. Its Supercenters also serve as anchor stores in many of the shopping centers where CATO CORP operates, making Walmart both a clothing rival and a key presence alongside Cato’s stores.

Agenda

in 28 daysTue, Nov 17

  1. 8:30 AMET pre-market

    Retail Sales MoM (Oct)

    Retail sales track how much consumers spend at stores, and stronger or weaker demand for Cato’s apparel, shoes and accessories changes what it sells and may affect markdowns.

in 30 daysThu, Nov 19

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    CATO CORP earningsThis company

    CATO CORP’s report will show whether its low-priced fashion stores can turn stronger customer spending into profit without merchandise and store costs outpacing sales.

  2. Time to be announced

    Walmart Inc. earningsWMT

    Walmart’s report will show whether shoppers are still buying apparel at its Supercenters and whether its stores continue to draw traffic to shopping centers where CATO CORP leases stores.