Stock daily read

What happened with BRFH today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

BRFH in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Most of Barfresh Food Group Inc.’s revenue comes from frozen beverages and food, including Twist & Go bottled smoothies and Pop & Go juice pops. It sells through national and regional accounts and broadline food distributors, predominantly in the United States. School districts account for a growing share of sales, making demand seasonal and tying the business closely to government funding for school nutrition programs. Distributors have no minimum purchase commitments.

The acquisition of Arps Dairy added a second business: selling raw and processed milk directly to one significant customer. This smaller business also supports Barfresh’s milk supply and helps keep its manufacturing capacity in use.

Barfresh previously outsourced all production. Arps Dairy gives it its own manufacturing capability as major contract manufacturers have stopped production or declined to renew contracts. The company plans to replace the acquired plant with a new facility, so reliable product supply depends on that manufacturing transition. Its dairy operations must meet food-safety, sanitation and other regulatory requirements.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in BRFH’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

BRFH says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

Barfresh Food Group Inc.’s results depend more on school-year smoothie demand, orders from a concentrated customer base and the ramp-up of acquired dairy manufacturing capacity than on any company in this list.

Agenda

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    For Barfresh, the Fed’s decision on its benchmark interest rate matters because its receivables-backed borrowing carries a rate based on the prime rate, so higher borrowing costs can increase what the company pays to finance operations and the New Facility.

in 16 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Barfresh Food Group Inc. earningsThis company

    Barfresh's report will show whether sales growth in bottled smoothies and juice pops is translating into stronger gross profit from its frozen beverages and food.