Stock daily read

What happened with BODI today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

BODI in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

The Beachbody Company serves consumers who want guided workouts and nutrition support. Customers pay for BODi subscriptions to access on-demand content, including programs such as P90X and Insanity. Digital subscriptions provide most of its revenue. Nutritional products are the other major source, led by products such as Shakeology shakes and Beachbody Performance supplements. Customers can buy these separately or bundled with digital access, and Shakeology alone supplies a substantial share of revenue.

The company sells directly to consumers through online marketing, affiliates and marketplaces such as Amazon. It has replaced its former multilevel Partner network with a single-level affiliate model: affiliates earn commissions on products they sell, rather than bonuses for building sales teams. The former network supplied most revenue before it closed, and the change has left fewer people selling the company’s products.

The business depends on keeping subscribers engaged and renewing, and on continued demand for its nutritional products. Apple’s App Store is a key distribution platform for BODi, making access subject to Apple’s rules. Independent manufacturers make the nutritional products, which must meet food-safety, manufacturing and labeling requirements. Automatically renewing subscriptions also require customer consent and must comply with sign-up and cancellation rules.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in BODI’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

BODI says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

BODi’s results depend on keeping digital fitness subscribers and rebuilding demand for nutritional products through affiliates and direct sales to consumers, rather than on the businesses of the supplied companies.

Agenda

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    The Fed’s rate decision signals the direction of borrowing costs; because Beachbody’s ABL loan rate is based on one-month SOFR, higher rates can raise its interest expense and leave less cash for operations.

in 20 daysMon, Nov 9

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    The Beachbody Company, Inc. earningsThis company

    BODi’s report will show whether digital subscriptions retain customers and nutrition products hold demand, supporting its two main revenue streams.