Stock daily read

What happened with BOC today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

BOC in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Boston Omaha Corporation is a holding company whose billboard and broadband subsidiaries generate most of its revenue. Link Media Holdings rents space on traditional and digital billboards to advertisers. It generally owns the billboard structures but leases the land beneath them, making access to those sites important to the business. Its billboards are concentrated in the Southeast and Midwest United States, where local rules restrict billboard locations and expansion.

Broadband businesses including AireBeam, UBB and InfoWest charge residential and other customers for internet access over fiber and fixed-wireless networks. Fiber Fast Homes works with homebuilders and developers to install fiber connections in residential developments and provide internet service to residents. This business depends on attracting and retaining customers on the networks it builds and operates.

Insurance provides another substantial revenue stream. UCS collects premiums for bonds that guarantee customers’ payment or performance obligations, including contractors’ obligations on construction projects. BOSS Bonds earns commissions by arranging surety insurance, with independent agents also buying coverage through its online portal. UCS assesses customers’ finances before issuing bonds and can seek repayment from them for claims it pays. Insurance capital requirements limit its operations and the cash it can distribute to Boston Omaha.

Boston Omaha also holds minority investments, including Sky Harbour, but does not control those businesses. It is winding down its BOAM asset-management operations. To avoid registration under the Investment Company Act, it must limit its exposure to minority investments relative to other assets; this can constrain which investments it holds or sells.

Read allShow less
Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in BOC’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

BOC says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Boston Omaha’s results hinge chiefly on billboard advertising, broadband subscriber growth and surety underwriting, with Clear Channel Outdoor another major billboard rival to watch beyond this list.

  • Lamar Advertising is a close comparison for Boston Omaha’s largest revenue segment: both rent roadside billboard space to advertisers and depend on local advertising budgets. Watch Lamar’s billboard occupancy and rental rates for signs of demand and pricing pressure on Boston Omaha.

  • OUTFRONT Media competes with Boston Omaha for advertisers renting billboard space, so competition can force Boston Omaha to cut rates or lose customers. OUTFRONT’s billboard revenue is the relevant line to watch, rather than its transit advertising business.

  • Part of Boston Omaha’s investment value is tied to Sky Harbour Group Corporation through its holding of 11.7 million shares and 7.7 million warrants. Sky Harbour develops and rents hangars for business aircraft, so its hangar development and long-term rental revenue are the business measures to watch.

  • Charter’s Spectrum internet service and rural expansion compete for the kinds of household broadband subscriptions Boston Omaha sells in underserved Arizona, Nevada and Utah communities. Watch Charter’s rural expansion and household internet pricing for pressure on Boston Omaha’s ability to win and retain paying subscribers.

  • Comcast is a potential rival for Boston Omaha’s residential internet customers, and Boston Omaha names it among the cable operators its broadband businesses may face. Comcast’s residential broadband pricing and network upgrades are more relevant to that competition than its media or theme-park results.

  • T-Mobile US competes with Boston Omaha’s internet services in underserved communities by selling home broadband delivered over its nationwide wireless network. Watch its 5G home internet offering as an alternative for households that could otherwise subscribe to Boston Omaha.

Agenda

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    The Fed’s decision tracks the policy interest rate that influences borrowing costs across the economy; for Boston Omaha, higher rates can raise interest on Link’s prime-rate-linked revolving credit line and weaken demand for its billboards, surety bonds and broadband, while lower rates can ease those pressures.

in 16 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced

    Lamar Advertising Co earningsLAMR

    Lamar Advertising’s billboard occupancy and rental rates will show whether roadside advertisers are filling space and accepting prices in a market Boston Omaha also serves.

in 17 daysFri, Nov 6

  1. Time to be announced

    Charter Comm Inc Del earningsCHTR

    Charter’s report will show whether rural households are adding Spectrum internet subscriptions, and whether its pricing could pressure Boston Omaha’s broadband business.

in 22 daysWed, Nov 11

  1. Time to be announced

    Sky Harbour Group Corporation earningsSKYH

    Sky Harbour Group’s report will show whether hangar development is turning into recurring rental revenue, a key test of the business behind Boston Omaha’s investment.

in 23 daysThu, Nov 12

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Boston Omaha Corporation earningsThis company

    Boston Omaha’s report will show whether its billboard, broadband and surety businesses generate enough gross profit to cover more of the costs that have kept the company loss-making.