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What happened with BNGO today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

BNGO in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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  • 3-month target price
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Company

Company overview

Bionano Genomics helps research and clinical laboratories identify structural changes in DNA. Its Saphyr and Stratys systems image long DNA molecules and build physical genome maps, a process called optical genome mapping (OGM). Customers buy instruments and then purchase chips and reagents as they process samples. Some receive instruments without an upfront charge in exchange for minimum consumable-purchase commitments. Product sales account for most revenue, with consumables the largest revenue line.

The company also sells Ionic Purification systems for preparing DNA and VIA software for interpreting genome data from OGM, sequencing and microarrays. VIA earns subscription revenue and offers pay-per-sample pricing in sequencing and microarray applications. A smaller laboratory-services business processes samples for customers without their own systems and offers a diagnostic test for suspected facioscapulohumeral muscular dystrophy type 1 through Bionano Laboratories; several former diagnostic services have been discontinued.

Bionano now emphasizes increasing use of systems already installed rather than placing new instruments. Revenue therefore depends heavily on how many samples customers process and on their research budgets. It also relies on a single contract manufacturer for instruments and limited suppliers for certain reagents.

Its systems are sold for research use only, not diagnosis; marketing them for diagnostic use requires applicable regulatory authorization. Bionano Laboratories provides its diagnostic service separately as a laboratory-developed test. Bionano also needs additional financing to continue operating, and its ability to secure that funding remains uncertain.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in BNGO’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
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Moat

BNGO says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
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  • Moderate
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Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Bionano Genomics’ results hinge on financing and greater use of its installed mapping systems, while Oxford Nanopore Technologies and privately held Nabsys are important competitors missing from this list.

  • PacBio competes with Bionano for spending by researchers and clinical laboratories studying large changes in DNA structure: PacBio reads long stretches of DNA, while Bionano builds physical genome maps. Watch demand for PacBio’s HiFi sequencing instruments and consumables as an indication of where those laboratories put their workflow budgets.

  • QIAGEN competes with Bionano in laboratory genome-analysis workflows, selling products that prepare biological samples, test their molecular contents and interpret the results; Bionano sells DNA extraction, mapping and interpretation tools. QIAGEN’s consumables and related revenue is the line to watch for spending on its integrated laboratory workflows.

  • Illumina offers both alternatives and complements to Bionano’s genome mapping, selling DNA sequencing and microarray tools to the same kinds of genomic laboratories. Those laboratories’ use of sequencing and arrays also matters to Bionano’s VIA software, which charges per sample to interpret genetic-disease and cancer data independently of its mapping systems.

  • 10x Genomics and Bionano both depend on laboratories funding advanced genomic experiments: 10x sells tools to study individual cells and their locations in tissue, while Bionano sells genome-mapping systems. Demand for 10x’s research consumables among academic, government and biopharmaceutical customers is a useful signal of experimental spending in their shared customer groups.

Agenda

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced

    Illumina Inc earningsILMN

    Illumina’s report will show how genomic labs are using sequencing and microarrays, workflows that can also generate per-sample demand for Bionano Genomics’ VIA software.

in 14 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. Time to be announced

    Pacific Biosciences of California, Inc. earningsPACB

    PacBio’s report will show whether researchers and clinical labs are still spending on long-read sequencing tools and consumables, from the same genomic research budgets Bionano Genomics seeks.

in 23 daysThu, Nov 12

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Bionano Genomics, Inc. earningsThis company

    Bionano Genomics’ report will show whether consumables and VIA software use by existing customers can grow revenue while the business uses less cash.