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What happened with BFLY today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

BFLY in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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Company

Company overview

Butterfly Network lets clinicians scan different parts of the body with a single handheld probe. Its Butterfly iQ+ and iQ3 devices use its Ultrasound-on-Chip semiconductor technology, with connected software accessed through mobile devices and hospital computers. Healthcare systems, individual providers and veterinarians pay for the equipment and software subscriptions, with support and training also available. Product sales bring in most revenue; software and other services supply the rest. Most revenue comes from U.S. customers, and one customer accounts for a meaningful share of sales.

Butterfly also licenses its semiconductor platform through Butterfly Embedded for development in markets that do not compete with its medical-device business. Its agreement with Midjourney brings in license and co-development payments and provides for milestone payments, chip purchases and revenue sharing if Midjourney commercializes hardware using Butterfly chips.

The business depends on customers adopting its devices and renewing software subscriptions, and on two key suppliers: TSMC makes all wafers for its ultrasound chips, while Benchmark assembles, tests and supplies finished products. Replacing either would take time and could interrupt deliveries. Butterfly may market its medical devices only for uses cleared or approved by the relevant regulators.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in BFLY’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

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Moat

BFLY says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

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Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Watch privately held Midjourney: Butterfly's ultrasound-chip licensing partnership with it accounts for $63.2 million of its $99.6 million in remaining performance obligations.

  • GE HealthCare's VScan competes with Butterfly's handheld probes for clinicians' mobile ultrasound purchases. For Butterfly investors, VScan's uptake among clinicians is the relevant contest—not GE HealthCare's broader sales of medical equipment, services and software to hospitals and health systems.

  • Philips competes with Butterfly for ultrasound purchases by clinicians and health systems, selling both conventional systems and Lumify handheld devices where Butterfly sells probes.

  • Butterfly's probe sales depend on Benchmark Electronics, which Butterfly pays as its sole contractor to assemble, test and supply finished probes. Watch production and delivery at Benchmark's Thailand facilities: switching manufacturers would bring extra costs and delays.

  • Pulsenmore overlaps with Butterfly in mobile ultrasound, but its smartphone-connected devices mainly let patients scan themselves at home, while Butterfly sells to healthcare providers. Its ES device sales through Clalit and Sheba for prenatal patients show how that home-scanning market is developing, rather than demand from skilled clinicians.

  • Butterfly depends on TSMC to manufacture the integrated circuits inside its proprietary ultrasound probe chips, paying it to turn chip designs into semiconductors. Their jointly developed manufacturing process and continuing process improvements are the part of TSMC's work to watch for Butterfly's single-probe, whole-body imaging technology.

Agenda

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced

    Benchmark Electronics earningsBHE

    Benchmark Electronics is Butterfly Network’s sole contract manufacturer for finished probes, so its report offers a read on the supply link Butterfly depends on.

  2. Time to be announced

    GE HealthCare Technologies Inc. earningsGEHC

    If GE HealthCare reports Vscan sales or adoption, its results will show how directly those handheld devices compete with Butterfly Network for clinicians’ mobile ultrasound purchases.

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Butterfly Network, Inc. earningsThis company

    Butterfly Network’s report will show whether probe sales and software and other services are growing together, and leaving more gross profit after costs.