Stock daily read

What happened with BCRX today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

BCRX in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals centers its business on ORLADEYO, a medicine it discovered and developed to prevent hereditary angioedema attacks. Most revenue comes from this drug, especially U.S. sales. In the United States, one specialty pharmacy buys the medicine from BioCryst, resells it to insurers and other healthcare payors, and dispenses it to patients with prescriptions. That pharmacy accounts for most of the company’s product sales, making it a critical customer and distribution link.

Outside the United States, BioCryst sells ORLADEYO through distributors and licensing partners. In Japan, Torii pays royalties tied to sales. BioCryst sold its European ORLADEYO business to Neopharmed but retained specified intellectual-property licensing rights and remains the territory’s exclusive product supplier; licensing connected with that sale was also a major revenue source.

The business depends on physicians prescribing ORLADEYO, patients staying on treatment, and insurers and government programs covering it. BioCryst and its partners must maintain regulatory approvals to sell the drug, and approved uses limit whom they can market it to.

Read allShow less
Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in BCRX’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

BCRX says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

BioCryst’s results hinge chiefly on patients starting and staying on ORLADEYO for hereditary angioedema (HAE), with CSL and KalVista also important competitors beyond this list.

  • Ionis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. sells DAWNZERA to prevent HAE attacks, competing for the patients and prescriptions that generate BioCryst’s ORLADEYO revenue. Watch DAWNZERA sales for signs of pressure on ORLADEYO’s patient uptake.

  • Pharvaris N.V. is developing oral deucrictibant to prevent HAE attacks, challenging the oral prevention market that pays BioCryst for ORLADEYO. Watch its pivotal Phase 3 prevention study of the extended-release tablet, rather than its separate on-demand treatment results.

  • Intellia Therapeutics, Inc’s Phase 3 HAE gene-editing treatment lonvo-z could replace ongoing prevention with BioCryst’s daily ORLADEYO. Watch its development and approval progress: Intellia planned a U.S. launch in the first half of 2027, conditional on both.

  • Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited sells TAKHZYRO to prevent HAE attacks, competing with BioCryst’s ORLADEYO for preventive-treatment prescriptions.

  • ADARx Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is developing onvuzosiran for HAE, potentially competing for patients who receive BioCryst’s ORLADEYO. Its onvuzosiran clinical progress is the development to watch for this patient overlap.

Agenda

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    The Fed’s decision tracks the US policy rate that influences borrowing costs, which can change interest expense on BioCryst’s $400 million variable-rate Blackstone loans and the cash left for operations.

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced

    Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited earningsTAK

    Takeda’s report will show whether TAKHZYRO is still drawing demand from the HAE-prevention patients and prescriptions it competes for with BioCryst’s ORLADEYO.

in 13 daysMon, Nov 2

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Inc earningsThis company

    BioCryst’s report will show whether U.S. patient demand and paid shipments are still lifting sales of its oral HAE-prevention drug ORLADEYO.