Stock daily read

What happened with ATHM today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

ATHM in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Autohome gives car shoppers vehicle information, prices and listings through its websites and apps. Dealers pay subscriptions to publish inventory and contact details and receive inquiries from prospective buyers; these leads-generation services are its largest revenue line. Automakers also pay to advertise brands, new models and promotions, largely through advertising agencies. Advertising is mainly charged by the day rather than by clicks.

Its online marketplace and other businesses generate nearly as much revenue as leads generation. Autohome sells data services to automakers and dealers and earns fees for delivering sales leads or facilitating vehicle, financing and insurance transactions. Its used-car services include listings on che168.com and online bidding through TTP at ttpai.cn, supported by vehicle inspections and ownership-transfer services. It also sells vehicles to franchised stores and individual customers.

The business depends on attracting car shoppers and on mainland China's vehicle sales and automaker and dealer marketing budgets. Most revenue comes from makers of internal-combustion vehicles. Its mainland internet-content operations rely on contracts with locally owned entities rather than equity ownership, and its online platforms depend on operating licenses. Chinese rules also require it to review advertising and user content and protect personal data; failure to meet these requirements can restrict or shut down services.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in ATHM’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

ATHM says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Autohome depends on Chinese automaker and dealer marketing budgets, especially combustion-vehicle brands, while local vehicle-transaction rivals Uxin and Guazi are absent from this list.

  • CarGurus, Inc. shares Autohome’s exposure to dealer spending on online listings and buyer leads: both connect car shoppers with dealers and collect dealer subscriptions and automaker advertising revenue, but mainly in different countries. CarGurus’s dealer subscription revenue is the line to watch for dealers’ willingness to pay for those connections, rather than a direct gauge of Chinese demand.

  • Cars.com Inc. offers a comparison for Autohome’s dependence on dealer marketing budgets: both sell dealer subscriptions, automotive advertising and car-shopping tools, but Cars.com serves the United States and Canada rather than China. Watch its average monthly revenue per dealer for how much those dealers spend on its marketplace advertising and digital tools.

Agenda

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Autohome Inc. earningsThis company

    Autohome’s report will show whether growth in marketplace and other services can offset falling automaker ad and dealer leads revenue.

in 16 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced

    Cars.com Inc. earningsCARS

    Cars.com’s report will show whether US and Canadian dealers still pay for marketplace advertising and digital tools, offering a read on the dealer-budget pressure Autohome also faces.