Stock daily read

What happened with AMLX today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

AMLX in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Amylyx Pharmaceuticals focuses on developing treatments for endocrine conditions and neurodegenerative diseases. Its main programs are avexitide for dangerously low blood sugar after weight-loss surgery, called post-bariatric hypoglycemia, and AMX0035 for Wolfram syndrome. Avexitide is in Phase 3 clinical development; AMX0035 is being studied for uses other than ALS.

The company previously earned revenue selling its ALS medicine as RELYVRIO in the United States and ALBRIOZA in Canada. It withdrew both products after the Phase 3 PHOENIX trial failed to meet its primary and secondary endpoints, and no longer expects revenue from them. Future drug sales require regulatory approval and would depend on physicians prescribing the treatments and patients, health insurers or government payors paying for them.

Amylyx funds development with its existing cash and has historically raised money through stock offerings and convertible notes. Continuing its programs depends on having enough funding to complete trials and pursue approval; it may also seek collaborators to help develop and commercialize its medicines.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in AMLX’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

AMLX says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Vogenx Inc is a direct rival to Amylyx’s avexitide: its investigational drug mizagliflozin targets the same patients with low blood sugar after bariatric surgery. Watch mizagliflozin’s clinical progress for changes in the competition avexitide faces.

  • Rezolute, Inc. presents potential competition for Amylyx’s low-blood-sugar therapies through ersodetug, which it is developing for patients whose hypoglycemia is associated with excess insulin. Its development across genetic and acquired forms of hyperinsulinism is the program to watch.

  • Coya Therapeutics, Inc. is developing COYA 302 for the same ALS patients Amylyx seeks to treat with AMX0114. Coya remains responsible for specified clinical development work, making COYA 302’s progress the relevant news for Amylyx holders.

  • NeuroSense Therapeutics Ltd.’s lead drug candidate PrimeC targets ALS, the same disease Amylyx is addressing with AMX0114. Watch its planned pivotal Phase 3 study of PrimeC, an extended-release pill combining ciprofloxacin and celecoxib.

  • Ionis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. already has a marketed ALS medicine, QALSODY, while Amylyx’s AMX0114 is still in development for that disease. Biogen sells QALSODY worldwide, so news about that medicine is more relevant to this rivalry than Ionis’s overall revenue.

  • Biogen Inc. already sells QALSODY for ALS worldwide, placing an established medicine alongside Amylyx’s investigational AMX0114. Watch QALSODY specifically rather than Biogen’s broader sales, which include substantial contributions from TYSABRI and SPINRAZA.

  • NewcelX Ltd. targets the same ALS disease as Amylyx’s AMX0114, but its AstroRx program takes a different route using human astrocytes derived from stem cells. AstroRx’s clinical progress is the relevant signal; NewcelX has not yet generated revenue from its development-stage candidates.

Agenda

in 7 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced

    Biogen Inc. earningsBIIB

    Biogen's report can show whether QALSODY is reaching more people with ALS, giving readers a focused read on the established treatment alongside Amylyx's investigational AMX0114.

  2. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    Amylyx’s decision on short-term borrowing rates matters because it can change interest earned as its cash investments reprice, as well as the cost of any new borrowing.

in 15 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Amylyx Pharmaceuticals, Inc. earningsThis company

    Amylyx has no approved products for sale, so this report shows whether it can advance avexitide while keeping cash use in check.

in 57 daysThu, Dec 17

  1. Time to be announced

    Vogenx Inc earningsVOGX

    Vogenx's report can show whether mizagliflozin is advancing toward the same post-bariatric-surgery patients Amylyx hopes to treat with avexitide.