Stock daily read

What happened with AIDX today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

AIDX in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

20/20 Biolabs sells blood tests that estimate a person’s likelihood of cancer. Its main product, OneTest for Cancer, combines blood levels of tumor-related proteins with information such as age and smoking history, using machine-learning algorithms to produce a risk score. The company runs the tests in its Maryland laboratory. These are screening tests that guide further diagnostic work, not tests that establish a cancer diagnosis.

OneTest for Cancer supplies most of the company’s revenue. Individuals buy testing directly, while employers and other organizations purchase it for groups. Fire departments are its largest employer customer group, and organizations serving Iraq war veterans are another customer segment. The company expects patients paying out of pocket to remain an important source of revenue; it does not expect Medicare coverage soon.

The company has also launched OneTest for Longevity, which tracks inflammation-related blood markers and provides diet and exercise guidance. It markets this test to self-insured employers as OneTest for Workplace Wellness.

The business depends on customers and physicians accepting its cancer screening, and on continued access to licensed technology from Taiwan’s Chang Gung Memorial Hospital and BioInfra. Its tests also rely on Roche Diagnostics equipment and reagents. Most products are laboratory-developed tests regulated federally under clinical laboratory rules, and the company must maintain laboratory certification and licensing.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in AIDX’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

AIDX says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

20/20 Biolabs depends primarily on adoption of its OneTest cancer screening, faces competition from Grail’s Galleri, and relies on Roche Diagnostics for key testing reagents and equipment.

  • 20/20 Biolabs relies on Abbott’s Alinity C testing platform and contracted chemistry reagents to measure markers in its OneTest diagnostic panels. Abbott’s reagent contracts guarantee pricing for the chemistry markers currently used in those panels, making those terms relevant to 20/20 Biolabs’ testing costs.

Agenda

tomorrowWed, Oct 21

  1. Time to be announced

    Abbott Laboratories earningsABT

    Abbott’s report will show how demand and costs are moving in its diagnostics business, offering a read on the market around the chemistry reagents 20/20 Biolabs buys.